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The Sacrifice to Occam - Section 1

The Sacrifice to Occam is a manuscript I have been working on about the nature of reality and free will, which is an interest that was sparked after I started to experience regular synchronicities.

Section 1: The Evidence for Determinism

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In the introduction I argued that our belief in free will comes largely from how we ‘feel’ about ourselves rather than from any objective, scientific, evidence. It comes directly from the fact that we feel we are in control of our decisions and bodily movements. However, as we will see below, it is becoming increasingly clear that the simplest explanation for the scientific and spiritual evidence bearing on this issue is that our actions are entirely predetermined.

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Since the rejection of free will is so counterintuitive to our everyday experience, let’s now go into the evidence in some detail that points strongly in the direction of determinism rather than free will. I’m not talking here about speculative theoretical models – what I am asking is: where are the empirical observations of modern science actually leading us?

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Chapter 1: Consciousness - A Very Brief Background

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The first issue to consider is what has previously been described by philosopher David Chalmers (1995) as the ‘hard problem of consciousness’. The simple fact is, that despite over one hundred and fifty years of studying the human brain in the modern scientific era, we still have very little idea of how the brain is connected to consciousness - in particular, how the brain generates consciousness or even whether the brain does, in fact, generate consciousness.

 

The orthodox scientific community, by which I mean scientific materialists, hold the belief that the brain somehow generates the ‘mind stuff’ of our consciousness. This group, represented by researchers such as Daniel Dennett (e.g., Dennett, 1991), suggest that consciousness is merely an ‘epiphenomenon’ i.e., a biproduct of the brain’s electrical activity – the firing of the neurons in the brain. But the question is often asked – how does the firing of neurons provide that sense of ‘us’ as individuals? How does it provide our qualitative sense of the world like our understanding of the colour red? Certainly, the red of the berries growing on the Hawthorn tree next to the lake where I am currently sitting is related to the wavelength of light in the electromagnetic spectrum that is being reflected from those berries, hitting the retina at the back of my eye, and then converted into a series of firing neurons in my brain. But what, in this entire sequence of events, is actually providing me subjectively with the idea of the colour red?* Why do things look ‘red’ in my mind rather than taking on some completely different appearance or form? The precise nature of consciousness and our subjective experiences is indeed very difficult to understand.

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Those of a less scientific-materialist persuasion, who may also have a spiritual outlook on the world, tend to believe that consciousness is generated not by material processes in the brain but is instead a much more fundamental phenomenon of the universe. Aldous Huxley, in his book The Doors of Perception (Huxley, 1954/2020), stated that consciousness was primary and that the brain merely acts as a ‘reducing valve’ to extract a limited spectrum, or bandwidth, from a much greater universal consciousness that allows us to live coherent and productive lives. Earlier philosophers like Rene Descartes (1596–1650) had already developed the concept of dualism – that mind and matter are separate entities that somehow interact with each other (Descartes proposed that mind interacted with the brain through the pineal gland - though how this interaction happened was never really explained in detail), while other more recent eminent scientists like Sir James Jeans described the universe as being akin to ‘a great thought’. In short, in believing that consciousness is primary, some researchers have opened up the possibility that matter and the world we see around us is the product of a ‘universal mind’ that has much greater scope than any one of our individual minds, but from which all minds are ultimately derived.

 

This idea is mirrored in the work of psychoanalyst Carl Jung, who believed that underlying each of our personal consciousnesses was a personal unconscious of which we are at times only dimly aware and, underlying that, a collective unconscious into which we as individuals are all connected and which contains fundamental features of the greater mind, such as traits shared by all of humanity irrespective of tribe, race, culture, or background, that Jung called ‘archetypes’. Archetypes are represented in such characters as the Hero (representing self-sacrifice), the Old Man or ‘senex’ (representing wisdom), the Boy or ‘puer’ (representing youth), the Great Mother (representing the divine feminine), the Trickster (representing mischief and change) and the Shadow Self (representing the, often dark, antithesis of the current persona).

 

If then, we are ‘plugged into’ a greater mind it is interesting to consider how this mind might operate. Does this mind represent a greater intelligence that some people would call ‘God’, in which we all play a role? Are we actors in a script generated by this greater mind called ‘God’?

 

In considering this, it is necessary to return to empirical science, in this case neuroscience and psychology, to see what this tells us about our consciousness and how we make decisions.

 

Notes

 

* There was actually an interesting case of synchronicity today (14th September 2021) related to my description of the Hawthorn tree on 6th September 2021. To give a bit of background, I am currently writing these lines from the Lake District, England. Two days ago, the weather forecast for today was poor and I hadn’t intended to do any hiking. However, this morning the peaks of the local mountains were clear and I decided to climb Scafell and Scafell Pike mountains as a repeat of a hike I only half managed to complete seven days ago (when I managed to climb Scafell Pike but not Scafell). When I went into a local shop in Wasdale to purchase some snacks for the hike I noticed that one of the managers was looking at a website of tree leaf shapes to which the other looked over and said – ‘Yes, it’s Hawthorn’. I found this to be an interesting coincidence with my actions from a week earlier when, the day before my first climb of Scafell Pike, I had had been sitting on the shore of Wastwater (the lake mentioned in the main text) wondering what the species of the tree with the red berries was. It was only when I got home that evening and searched online for the names of trees with red berries that I discovered it to be a Hawthorn.

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Chapter 2: Libet's Neuroscience

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One of the most well-known neuroscientific studies to investigate how our decision-making process is associated with brain activity was carried out by Benjamin Libet and associates at the University of California, San Francisco in the early 1980s (Libet et al., 1983; Libet, 1999). This study was considered to be path-breaking because it appeared to indicate that voluntary actions are preceded by an electrical change in the brain that begins both before the act and, perhaps more surprisingly, even before the human subjects themselves become aware of making a conscious intention to act. In other words, our brains seem to know that we are about to take an action before we become aware of it ourselves.

 

Over a series of forty trials, participants were asked to perform a sudden flick of their wrist when they felt they wanted to. During each trial the subject was also asked to report the time, as indicated on an ‘oscilloscope’ clock, when they first became aware that they wanted to move their wrist. Meanwhile, an electrode attached to the scalp of each participant recorded the electrical activity associated with the brain cortex during each movement. Over the trials, in each of the nine subjects studied, the average onset of electrical brain activity (the so-called ‘readiness potential’) started 550 milliseconds before the muscle activation associated with the wrist movement (as detected in an electromyogram (EMG) of the suddenly activated muscle), while the first awareness of a wish to take the action took place 200 milliseconds prior to muscle activation. The immediate implication of this experiment, therefore, was to suggest that because our brains appear to become active before we are consciously aware of making a decision, that somehow the decision is imposed from outside of our immediate conscious awareness, at the unconscious level.

 

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Chapter 3: Presentiment

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Libet’s study generated controversy, but it was not an isolated piece of research. More recent psychological experiments (as summarized in detail by Dean Radin in his book Supernormal (2013)) studied human presentiment, which is the unconscious response of the body’s nervous system to future stimulus events before those events have reached conscious awareness. In these studies, a variety of methods were used to continuously monitor the responses of the autonomic nervous system throughout the period prior to, during, and after the event, including measurement of skin conductance (level of sweating - like the method used in lie detector tests), heart rate, brain electrical activity (measuring brain waves using an EEG), blood oxygenation and eye dilation. The behaviour of these particular aspects of the volunteer’s nervous system was measured in response to stimuli including emotional images, flashing lights and audible sounds, as compared to when they were offered no such stimulus or if the image they were shown had calming rather than emotional content. Again, in these studies the recorded measurements indicated that the participant’s body was unconsciously responding to the future ‘stimulating’ event, be it when witnessing a distressing image or visible light, or when hearing an audible sound. The participant was not consciously aware that he or she would experience the event but somehow their body ‘knew’, in some cases up to 1.5 seconds in advance (in the case of experienced meditators (see Radin, 2013)), that something ‘shocking’ was about to happen.

 

Along similar lines, Daryl Bem’s (2011) study suggests that people’s conscious choices can be influenced by events in the future through a mechanism known as ‘retrocausation’ (i.e., backward causation). In Bem’s study, volunteers were first asked to select one of two images and were then rapidly and repeatedly shown one of the same two images that had subsequently been randomly selected by a computer. It was found that there was a correlation (with odds against chance of 73 billion to 1) between the conscious choice of image as selected by the volunteers and the image independently selected and shown by the computer. The explanation given for this phenomenon was that the image that had been seen subliminally in the future somehow ‘reached backwards’ into the past, through the process of retrocausation, to influence the decision of which photo was initially selected by the volunteer.

 

It is worth digressing at this point to ask the question of who or what we, as individuals, actually are. Rene Descartes famously said: ‘I think therefore I am’, which probably holds much truth since it is my conscious awareness that makes me who I am as a person. Alongside their studies of the conscious mind, the psychoanalysts Sigmund Freud and Carl Jung also investigated and defined various levels of the personal and collective unconscious. But the question then arises: If it is unconscious to us, i.e., if we are not aware of those levels of mental activity, then how can they be said to be ‘us’ in any direct sense. If we follow Descartes, then I am my own conscious awareness, I cannot be something that I am unconscious or unaware of. It may be that something else is acting on me at those unconscious levels, but if I am not consciously aware of those processes, then they cannot be said to be a reflection of my own individual personality. (I will revisit Descartes’ famous phrase again in Chapter 7, when I will discuss how even our own conscious sense of self can probably be considered to be an illusion.)

 

The experiments described in this chapter and the previous one, are interesting in that they seem to suggest that what happens on the conscious and unconscious levels of the mind is somewhat similar. The presentiment studies document that something was happening on the unconscious level, i.e., the participants were unaware that they were about to witness a distressing image and yet their bodies responded as if they knew something was coming. Similarly, Libet’s experiments on conscious decision-making also seemed to indicate that the brain cortex knew in advance that a decision was about to be made. These experiments suggest that on both the conscious and unconscious levels we, as individuals, are not personally in control of what is going on. Our bodies appear to be acting according to a script that we are not consciously aware of, even if, through our conscious processes, we become aware of certain limited aspects of that script. But the fact remains, if I am not consciously aware of something, or some aspect of unconscious mental phenomena associated with me (rather than my conscious mental processes), then that aspect cannot be said to be ‘me’ in any real sense. To repeat: I think, therefore I am!

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Chapter 4: Precognition

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In some respects, presentiment could be viewed as an unconscious or ‘weaker’ version of precognition, which is the somewhat spooky ability that certain individuals have to be able to consciously divine the future. There is a long history, dating back to ancient Greek and Chinese antiquity, of people displaying such abilities. Oracles, such as the Oracle of Delphi, who advised the rulers of ancient Greece on the potential outcomes of certain political or military strategies, are but the most famous historical precognitive case studies. While many examples of precognition may seem a bit vague, some individuals do on occasion have clear visions of what the future may bring. Good overviews of precognition are presented in Jess Stearn’s: The Door to the Future (1963) and Alan Vaughan’s Patterns of Prophecy (1974), while more recently, in The G.O.D. Experiments (2006), Gary Schwartz describes a controlled experiment designed to test the accuracy of precognitive dreaming. Perhaps the main takeaway message of Stearn’s work is that while not all examples of precognition are accurate, there are enough outstanding and verifiable case studies to prove the existence of the phenomenon and, as William James stated: “In order to disprove the assertion that all crows are black, one white crow is sufficient”. So, while Nostradamus’s predictions of a large international conflict in July 1999 may not have materialised, it would perhaps be sensible not to dismiss all these types of claims outright. Certainly, US President Roosevelt didn’t dismiss the abilities of the ‘Capital Seer’ Jeane Dixon when he asked her how much time he had left to get his work done in Autumn 1944 and she in turn told him that he had no longer “than the middle of the coming year”. Roosevelt died on 12th April 1945. Similarly, Stearn writes:

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“On a visit to the White House in 1945, Winston Churchill asked her to predict the outcome of the first general election in years. “Your party,” Jeane told him, “will be turned back, and there will be a new Prime Minister.” Chomping on his cigar, Mr. Churchill growled, “My people will never let me down after what I have done for them.” “Oh, don’t worry,” Jeane reassured him, “you will make a comeback””

 

Which, of course, Churchill did – after losing the election in 1945 he regained power in 1951. Stearn also recounts the story of how Dixon predicted the heart attack of a colleague, Justice Mitchell, and saved his life after she had a vision and telephoned her office to warn of the danger.

 

In 1979, David Booth (Air Documentaries, 2018) had an identical dream of an air disaster for ten consecutive nights prior to the crash of American Airlines flight 191 (to date the largest air accident on US soil) while taking off from Chicago Airport on May 25th of that year. He was so convinced by his dream that he twice telephoned the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to warn them of his concerns.

 

On a lighter note, Gary Lachman, in his recent book Dreaming Ahead of Time (2022)*, discusses two people – John Godley and Wilbur Wright – who used their precognitive dreams to successfully forecast the outcome of horse races. Similarly, Swami Vivekananda (2016) recounts the following:

 

“I once heard of a man who, if any one went to him with questions in his mind, would answer them immediately; and I was also informed that he foretold events. I was curious and went to see him with a few friends. We each had something in our minds to ask, and, to avoid mistakes, we wrote down our questions and put them in our pockets. As soon as the man saw one of us, he repeated our questions and gave the answers to them. Then he wrote something on paper, which he folded up, asked me to sign on the back, and said, “Don’t look at it; put it in your pocket and keep it there till I ask for it again.”  And so on to each one of us. He next told us about some events that would happen to us in the future. Then he said, “Now, think of a word or a sentence, from any language you like.” I thought of a long sentence from Sanskrit, a language of which he was entirely ignorant. “Now, take out the paper from your pocket,” he said. The Sanskrit sentence was written there! He had written it an hour before with the remark, “In confirmation of what I have written, this man will think of this sentence.” It was correct. Another of us who had been given a similar paper which he had signed and placed in his pocket, was asked to think of a sentence. He thought of a sentence in Arabic, which it was still less possible for the man to know; it was some passage from the Koran. And my friend found this written down on the paper. Another of us was a physician. He thought of a sentence from a German medical book. It was written on his paper. Several days later I went to this man again, thinking possibly I had been deluded somehow before. I took other friends, and on this occasion also he came out wonderfully triumphant.”

 

Two further examples worth mentioning are the dream precognitions of J.W. Dunne and Elizabeth Krohn.

 

At the beginning of the twentieth century, John William Dunne was a pioneer of early aviation, responsible for helping to develop some of the first tailless, swept-wing aircraft. He was also fascinated by some of his dreams which appeared to foretell various events, some of which were later reported in the newspapers, such as the eruption of the Mont Pelée volcano in Martinique. Dunne developed his own model for the operation of time, known as ‘serial time’ (Dunne, 1927/2001), which he believed could explain his observations of the future (what he called ‘time displacement’) while in a relaxed or dream state.

 

Elizabeth Krohn started to experience precognitive dreams, alongside other anomalous experiences, following an incident in September 1988 when she was struck by lightning. In a similar fashion to Dunne, Krohn appeared to be able to foretell natural and man-made disasters. In Krohn and Kripal (2018), Elizabeth Krohn describes how she can always recognize when one of her dreams is precognitive because of its distinctive clarity. When she wakes following such a dream, she, like Dunne, immediately writes down what she has just experienced. Unlike Dunne, Krohn has access to modern technology, and she will regularly compose an email containing all the pertinent details of her precognitive dream, which she then sends to herself and her co-author Jeffrey Kripal as soon as she has completed it immediately after waking. Significant events that she appears to have predicted include the Miracle on the Hudson aircrash in January 2009, the Japanese Tsunami in 2011, and the Columbian air disaster involving a Brazilian soccer team in November 2016. As with Dunne, there has been some speculation as to whether Elizabeth Krohn is actually ‘seeing’ a vision of the forthcoming disaster in reality, or whether she is merely precognitively viewing herself reading the news report at the time she actually learned of the disaster (e.g., Krohn and Kripal, 2018; Wargo, 2018).

 

But irrespective of the precise source of the information, it does appear that individuals like Dunne and Krohn are able, on some level, to make successful predictions of future global news events, which confounds our common-sense notions of cause and effect and of the nature of time as being a one-way flow from past to future. Unfortunately, precognition can only be confirmed as such after the objective event described in the dream has taken place and if the dream is vague in terms of precise time and location, which many seem to be, then its precise predictive value will be limited (though Krohn states that she always has a strong intuitive feeling when one of her dreams is precognitive).

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Nonetheless, enough of these events have now been reported to make them of strong interest to the parapsychological community. The American writer Mark Twain had a precognitive dream of such clarity that it converted him to a belief in predestination and compelled him to become an active investigator into psychical research. Jonathan Bricklin (2015) quotes Twain’s biographer Albert Paine as recording that Twain “…held that there was no such thing as an accident: that it was all forewritten in the day of the beginning: that every event, however slight, was embryonic in that first instant of created life, and immutably timed to its appearance in the web of destiny.” Twain’s dream, as recounted in his autobiography (1924/2017) and quoted in Bricklin (2015), concerned the death of his brother Henry, and happened while he was staying at his brother in law’s house in St. Louis:

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“In the morning, when I awoke, I had been dreaming, and the dream was so vivid, so like reality that it deceived me and I thought it was real. In the dream I had seen Henry a corpse. He lay in a metallic burial case. He was dressed in a suit of my clothing and on his breast lay a great bouquet of flowers, mostly white roses, with a red rose in the center. The casket stood upon a couple of chairs. I dressed and moved toward that door, thinking I would go in there and look at it, but I changed my mind. I thought I could not yet bear to meet my mother. I thought I would wait awhile and make some preparation for that ordeal. The house was in Locust Street, a little above Thirteenth, and I walked to Fourteenth and to the middle of the block beyond before it suddenly flashed upon me that there was nothing real about this – it was only a dream. I can still feel something of the grateful upheaval of joy of that moment and I can also still feel the remnant of doubt, the suspicion that maybe it was real after all. I returned to the house almost on a run, flew up the stairs two or three steps at a jump and rushed into that sitting room, and was made glad again, for there was no casket there.”

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Twain’s brother Henry did in fact later die in an explosion on the steamship Pennsylvania near Memphis, on the Mississippi river. Following the incident, Henry’s corpse was laid out in a special room in the hospital. As Twain recounts:

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“The coffins provided for the dead were of unpainted white pine, but in this instance some of the ladies of Memphis had made up a fund of sixty dollars and bought a metallic case, and when I … entered the dead-room Henry lay in that open case and he was dressed in a suit of my clothing. I recognized instantly that my dream of several weeks before was here exactly reproduced, so far as these details went – and I think I missed one detail, but that one was immediately supplied, for just then an elderly lady entered the place with a large bouquet consisting mainly of white roses, and in the center of it was a red rose and she laid it on his breast.”

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Exactly as is the case with Elizabeth Krohn’s precognitive dreams, Twain reported that the details he recalled in his dream had the nature of vivid pictures that he was able to recall with crystal clarity many years after the dream had occurred.

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So, what is the mechanism? I have already alluded to Dunne’s view of precognition and serial time, and others have speculated about the existence of ‘time loops’ that reach back from the future (as in Bem’s retrocausation experiments) to provide information to, and influence, the past (Wargo, 2018). However, in keeping with the theme of this book I want to return to William of Occam and his famous razor. I believe the simplest explanation is that the universe is a highly scripted and deterministic place – that the future is already fixed and cannot be avoided. Believers in free will often argue that precognitive dreams are rarely one hundred per cent accurate and that these dreams or visions could be used to avoid a specific negative outcome in the future – i.e., someone can avoid being involved in a disaster if they act on the information provided by their vision. But this doesn’t negate the possibility that it was predestined for the individual to act in such a way following receipt of the precognitive information. This seems to me to be the simplest explanation. And there is also the problem, as mentioned in Stearn (1963), that: “No matter the warnings, people seem drawn into situations that foresight might have averted”. Predestination would also explain the observation of Dunne that some dreams end with an event connected to a noise in the real world and yet this closing incident is always at the logical conclusion of the dream storyline (Dunne, 1927/2001):

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“What about those puzzling dreams from which one is awakened by a noise or other sensory event – dreams in which the noise in question appears as the final dream incident? Why is it that this closing incident is always logically led up to by the earlier part of the dream?” [highlighted in the original]

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Precognition seems to provide considerable evidence that the future already exists and part of the game of life is how we react to such information about the future. The reason why certain individuals appear to act in some respect as ‘oracles’ is because that is what they are scripted to do**. There is no retrocausation as such, nothing ‘reaches back’ from the future, it is just that the dreams that enter the minds of certain people from the greater unconscious have a content that correlates with later objective events in the world that have yet to take place. Retrocausation, as a concept, is still a product of traditional thinking in terms of cause-and-effect relationships, which should perhaps be abandoned in favour of a correlation between events. I will discuss this further in Chapter 9.

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So, as described above, some previous commentators have discussed how conscious precognition of disasters could, in theory, be used to avoid being caught in an event when it occurs. But, as we have already touched upon during the discussion of presentiment, there seems to be a gradation in how conscious we are of this knowledge about the future, depending on whether the information has been presented to the conscious or unconscious mind. At one extreme there is the acting on conscious foreknowledge as presented in precognitive dreams, while at the other there is the unconscious actions of people that, as I will discuss next, have allowed them to inadvertently escape disaster, as seen in certain synchronicities.

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Notes

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* I am grateful to Jonathan Bricklin for providing the examples of David Booth and Swami Vivekananda and introducing me to Jess Stearn’s Door to the Future. Another interesting ‘library angel’ synchronicity happened in conjunction with this episode. Jonathan Bricklin helpfully provided the precognitive suggestions alongside a review of a draft of this book by email on 3rd February 2022. The following day, on 4th February, I was searching the SPR library catalogue for The Door to the Future and a book on synchronicity, when I noticed that three upcoming oral presentations had just been added to the SPR website, the first of which was to be given on 28th February 2022 by Gary Schwartz (author of Super Synchronicity (2017)) entitled ‘Synchronicities: A Challenge for Materialist Science’. At 9.15am on 5th February, I received an advertising email from the London Fortean Society about a talk called ‘Precognitive Dreams: Synchronicity and Coincidence’ to be given by Gary Lachman on Tuesday 5th April 2022 about his latest book Dreaming Ahead of Time. In his book, Lachman himself discusses Koestler’s library angel and the fact that “Koestler was subject to a ‘meteor shower’ of coincidences while researching his book on coincidence”. He also gives an interesting personal example of a synchronicity when he was visiting a second-hand bookshop, where the bookseller was, like him, called Gary and there was a card with the name Gary written on it on top of a stack of books. This is therefore an interesting and complex synchronicity involving two Garys, both of whom have written books on synchronicity, a bookseller called Gary, a bookshop with a stack of books and a card with the name Gary written on it and two presentations given on the subject on synchronicity by each Gary, one to the SPR and one to the Fortean Society that I became aware of within 24 hours, one because I happened to receive an email and the second because I was led, for another reason, to look at the SPR website. Even if the talks were deliberately arranged around the same time because of their similar content, the way I stumbled upon them is what gives meaning to the synchronicity, the result of which was to provide me with further useful references. In this case the ‘library angel’ was acting through both the conscious suggestions of Jonathan Bricklin, which led me to the SPR website just as the new talks were being added on 4th February and, independently, through the Fortean Society email on 5th February, about Gary Lachman’s upcoming talk. Until I received this message, I had not heard about Lachman’s book, which I was then able to order the following day. As with the example of JohnJoe Mcfadden’s book, described in my note to the Introduction, I found this to be an interesting, useful, and very timely synchronicity.

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** If we consider precognition as a role being played in a game or script, then there is one further brief aside to mention about Krohn’s predictions of the Hudson aircrash in 2009. After she pressed ‘send’ on her confirmatory (evidence) email immediately after waking, it appears as though the message ‘sat’ on her server for seven hours and was only actually sent from that server twenty minutes after the airliner had landed on the Hudson River in New York, hence in some respects reducing the predictive power of the dream. Krohn and Kripal (2018) describe this incident in further detail and Kripal makes the interesting point that the email ‘waiting’ on the server may reflect some form of ‘trickster effect’ – as if something acting from behind the scenes was preventing Krohn from providing concrete evidence of her precognition, so as not to be revealed. This trickster effect, representing mischief and the desire to ‘shake things up’, has been reported throughout history. In his classic book, The Hero with a Thousand Faces, mythologist Joseph Campbell (1949/2008) recounts the tale of Edshu, a trickster-deity of the Yoruba people of West Africa. Looking and behaving much like a Jester or Joker figure, Edshu walks down a road between two fields wearing a hat that is white on one side and red on the other. The farmers working in each of the opposing fields see Edshu and discuss his appearance later that evening. One farmer says he was wearing a white hat, the other a red hat. They cannot agree, get into a fight, and are brought before a village elder for judgement. The argument is resolved at the trial, when Edshu, who is among the crowd, steps forward to reveal himself and his hat saying: “Those two could not help but quarrel…I wanted it that way. Spreading strife is my greatest joy.”

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Which on first reading sounds rather anarchist. But the point of the trickster is to challenge the status quo, to get people to consider alternative viewpoints and embrace the need for change. Vogler (1998/2007) makes the point that in drama, tricksters serve all these functions plus the dramatic function of comic relief. So, the fact that there is a flippant, tricksterish aspect to the script of life, which may also be expressed through tragedy or tragicomedy, should not be too surprising. It could be said that life needs the yin and the yang, the darkness and the light, in order to be well-rounded and fully developed.  

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Other examples of tricksters in mythology include Hermes of the ancient Greeks, who was both messenger of the Olympian gods and the divine trickster, Loki, the Norse god of trickery, and the Coyote and Raven of the Native Americans. Combs and Holland (1990) also emphasize the role of Hermes as the boundary dweller and patron saint of travellers, responsible for transformations such as when human experience breaks through frontiers and we are exposed to psychological transformations or new facts and experiences, or perhaps a symbolic death and rebirth.

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In the case of Krohn’s Hudson email, there is also perhaps a parallel with recorded incidents of poltergeist activity, during which “objects may refuse to move if watched, as if ‘shy’, but will immediately move when the attention of the observer is momentarily distracted” (Perry, 1987/2012). Again, there is a tricksterish quality to such poltergeist phenomena. Similarly, Koestler in the Challenge of Chance (1973) describes what he calls an ‘ink-fish effect’ surrounding the study of parapsychology in which “It looks like the phenomena in question had a tendency to leave a smoke-screen in their trail to confuse their pursuers.”

 

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Chapter 5: Synchronicity

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Having been initially inspired by Schopenhauer’s essay: ‘Transcendent Speculation on the Apparent Deliberateness in the Fate of the Individual’ (1851)*, the concept of synchronicity, or meaningful coincidence, was first introduced by Carl Jung in the early part of the twentieth century. He later expanded his idea following studies of other workers like Paul Kammerer and through conversations with theoretical physicists including Albert Einstein (according to Combs and Holland (1990), the idea of synchronicity came to Jung in the 1920s during a dinner conversation with Einstein) and, more significantly, Wolfgang Pauli. In 1952, Jung and Pauli published ‘Synchronicity: An Acausal Connecting Principle’, which addressed the concept in more depth from a parapsychological perspective.

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Synchronicity has previously been described as a bridge between mind and matter (e.g., Peat, 1987) and can be summarised as a meaningful coincidence between a subjective event in the mind of an individual person and an objective, external event located in the material world. Both Jung himself and some more recent commentators (e.g., Browne, 2017), have suggested that the most important attribute of synchronicity, to differentiate it from mere coincidence, is an element of meaning or numinosity that gives it a ‘weight’ which attracts the attention of the person experiencing the event. This could be called the ‘WOW!’ factor – when one is left feeling: “How could that have possibly happened!” In this way, many people experiencing synchronicities will often be left feeling that they have received a spiritual or religious communication that they then may be able to act upon in their daily lives (e.g., Vaughan, 1979; Joseph, 1999). Synchronicities appear to act as an ordering principle and may appear to the recipient as a form of patterning in their lives. But more importantly for the present discussion is that synchronicities appear to arise unconsciously. As a result, it may be possible to act on the information as it arises, and many people attempt to do this, but recipients are unable to predict exactly when a significant synchronicity will arrive.

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Synchronicities appear to act on multiple levels of significance and have a range of impacts, but they do appear to provide strong evidence for an unconscious patterning in the universe. Arthur Koestler describes a ‘library angel’ that would often seem to unconsciously guide him to books and references while he was undertaking research (Hardy, Harvie & Koestler, 1973). William James quotes something similar in The Varieties of Religious Experience (1902/2018):

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“The following description of a 'led' life, by a German writer whom I have already quoted, would no doubt appear to countless Christians in every country as if transcribed from their own personal experience. One finds in this guided sort of life, says Dr. Hilty,— "That books and words (and sometimes people) come to one's cognizance just at the very moment in which one needs them…”

 

Along similar lines, Vaughan (1979) and Schwartz (2017) have previously cited examples of a ‘synchronicity of synchronicity’, when useful examples of meaningful coincidence appeared at exactly the right time in references and personal correspondence while the authors were searching for examples to include in their research – as if something was specifically trying to guide them towards evidence for the synchronicity phenomenon.

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Many popular books have now been written that provide a wide range of personal accounts of synchronicity (e.g., The Challenge of Chance (Hardy et al., 1973), Incredible Coincidence (Vaughan, 1979), Coincidence (Inglis, 1990), One in a Million (Hough, 1996), Beyond Coincidence (Plimmer and King, 2004), Unbelievable!: The Bizarre World of Coincidences (Crompton, 2013)). Most reports document examples of meaningful coincidences that took place within a family or work setting, such that while they are quite interesting for the outsider to read, the actual subjective numinous effect of the synchronicity is limited to only one individual or family – i.e., the synchronicity was localized in its personal or geographic extent. In his book Time Loops (2018), Eric Wargo references the work of psychologist Ruma Falk:

 

“…Falk found that an egocentric bias causes us to disproportionately notice chance events that bear on our own interests and priorities. Participants in Falk’s experiments at Hebrew University in Jerusalem were more surprised by coincidences that happened to them in their own lives (either in the course of an experiment or in the past) than by identical coincidences reported to have happened to another individual. A coincidence centred on another person, Falk says, seems unremarkable, just “one of many events that could have happened”. “

 

But I wonder whether this kind of orthodox psychological position may be overstating our lack of interest in other people’s meaningful coincidences. The number of popular books published on synchronicity, which contain a plethora of sometimes quite astonishing personal accounts, is surely testament to the general interest in this phenomenon and how it can impact on our lives in often profound ways. Accepting, however, that reading a second-hand account of synchronicity may not be as impactful as experiencing a similar event in our own lives, I will discuss later how it might be possible to expand the range and influence of synchronicity by investigating whether people from many different backgrounds and environments might be able to feel numinous, synchronistic connections with identical global news events, in a way which may emphasize the interconnectedness between people and the world more generally.

 

On the largest scale, Richard Tarnas (2006) has described how some of the astrological correspondences that he has investigated between objective planetary alignments and subjective ‘constellated archetypes’ (which can be roughly translated as individual, personal life experiences) could be interpreted as a form of synchronicity. In this way, Tarnas explains that astrology is a form of Jung’s meaningful coincidence writ large – an example of the macrocosm (the objective ‘universal’ planetary patterns) being reflected in the microcosm (the subjective life experience of the individual person or society) at that time. Tarnas’s work is in many ways a successor to the original astrological experiment by Jung (1952/1972), in which Jung attempted to gather objective evidence for synchronicity through astrological patterns of marriage.

 

To connect back to the previous discussion on precognition, it may be fruitful to contrast the ‘conscious foreknowledge’ witnessed in precognitive dreams with the ‘unconscious foreknowledge’ of synchronicity. So, as mentioned in the previous chapter, some researchers have stated that precognition could in theory be used consciously by the recipient to avoid being caught in a future disaster. However, in a similar way, there have also been instances of synchronicity where people have been unconsciously diverted away from the location of a future risk to life, without any prior conscious knowledge of the event.

 

There are plenty of anecdotal reports of people ‘unconsciously’ changing their plans at the last minute that would mean them avoid getting on trains that were later involved in a rail crash. Furthermore, a survey of twenty-eight train accidents between 1950 and 1955 revealed that significantly fewer people rode the trains on the days of the accidents than on comparable days over the previous weeks (Cox, 1956).  It has been reported that on September 11th 2001, the aircraft that crashed into the twin towers and the Pentagon had fewer passengers on board than would normally be expected for those Tuesday morning flights (e.g., Blomqvist, 2021), as if something was unconsciously directing people away from their ‘roles’ as passengers on these aircraft**.

 

One well discussed example of a significant numinous synchronicity, when disaster was averted, occurred at the West Side Baptist Church in Beatrice, Nebraska (Vaughan, 1979; Plimmer and King, 2004). This incident, first reported in Life magazine (March 27, 1950), took place on 1st March 1950 when all fifteen members of the church choir failed to turn up for choir practice at 7.20pm. Plimmer and King (2004) take up the story:

 

“The preacher, Walter Klempel, lit the furnace at the West Side Baptist Church and then went home for dinner. His return to the church with his family was delayed when his daughter’s dress was soiled and his wife had to iron another for her.

 

Ladona Vandergrift, a high school student, was having trouble with a geometry problem. She decided to solve it before leaving for choir practice.

 

Royena Estes couldn’t get her car to start, so she and her sister called Ladona Vandergrift and asked her to pick them up. But Ladona was still working on her geometry problem, so the Estes sisters had to wait.

 

Marilyn Paul, the pianist, had planned to arrive half an hour early, but fell asleep after dinner...”

 

The fifteen members of the choir were, by all accounts, normally punctual but on that particular evening there were ten unconnected reasons why they had all arrived late for practice at 7.20pm. But what made the incident all the more remarkable was that at 7.25pm the church building was destroyed by an explosion that was thought to have been caused by methane gas leaking into the church from a broken pipe and being ignited by the fire in the furnace. The explosion was large enough to force a nearby radio station off air and shatter windows in surrounding homes.

 

The members of the choir, perhaps not surprisingly, told Life magazine that they believed their lucky escape to be an ‘act of God’. Vaughan (1979) makes the point that this incident could be ascribed to “unconscious precognition…since, for example, it has been shown that fewer passengers than usual travel on trains that are later wrecked.”

 

In contrast, but perhaps somehow related to these kinds of events, are studies reported by Malcolm Gladwell in his book The Tipping Point (2000) on suicide statistics in the periods immediately following stories of suicides appearing in the media. In this case, there seems to be an unconscious contagion of fatalities, both of deliberate suicides and accidents. Gladwell reports the work of sociologist David Phillips of the University of California at San Diego. Phillips noted that not only did the local and national suicide rate increase following a high-profile suicide, but so did the rate of traffic fatalities:

 

“On the day after a highly publicized suicide, the number of fatalities from traffic accidents was, on average, 5.9 percent higher than expected. Two days after a suicide story, traffic deaths rose 4.1 percent. Three days after, they rose 3.1 percent, and four days after, they rose 8.1 percent. (After ten days, the traffic fatality rate was back to normal). Phillips concluded that one of the ways in which people commit suicide is by deliberately crashing their cars, and that these people were just as susceptible to the contagious effects of a highly publicized suicide as were people killing themselves by more conventional means.

 

The kind of contagion Phillips is talking about isn’t something rational or even necessarily conscious…stories about suicides resulted in an increase in single-car crashes where the victim was the driver. Stories about suicide-murders resulted in an increase in multiple-car crashes in which the victims included both drivers and passengers. Stories about young people committing suicide resulted in more traffic fatalities involving young people. Stories about older people committing suicide resulted in more traffic fatalities involving older people. These patterns have been demonstrated on many occasions.” (Gladwell, 2000)

 

Of course, while there may be a correlation between suicide stories and traffic accidents, that does not necessarily imply a causal link. Part of the argument I intend to make in Chapter 9 is that a model of the universe based on correlations is perhaps more useful in certain circumstances than a model based on strict causation. In the above example, it seems unlikely that people are consciously deciding to crash their cars to commit suicide, and particularly not if other passengers are involved. But there certainly seems to be a correlation and something must be underlying that correlation.

 

Synchronicities, as described by Jung, are meaningful coincidences between the subjective mind and objective, external, events. These synchronicities do not necessarily need to be positive, uplifting, experiences (from a human perspective) such as a lucky escape from a church gas explosion, but could also involve meaningful coincidences, or correlations, between negative events such as publicised suicides and fatalities resulting from traffic accidents.

Perhaps all the events described above – the escape from the gas explosion and the correlation between suicides and traffic accidents – reflect a deeper, underlying, determinism linking people to the world of events that have an impact on their lives, for better or worse.

 

My point in discussing the above is to highlight the similarities between ‘conscious’ precognition and ‘unconscious’ presentiments and synchronicity. At one end of the spectrum, individuals like Jeane Dixon, David Booth, Elizabeth Krohn and J.W. Dunne appear to have received significant conscious foreknowledge of the future, which they may or may not be able to act upon. They are at least conscious of the fact that this knowledge may be of importance regarding future events, even if they don’t know its precise significance in advance. At the other end of the spectrum are the unconscious presentiments of Radin and Bem, and synchronicities of Jung that appear to provide direction only at the unconscious level. In this latter case, people have no idea what is coming.

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Notes

 

* Arthur Schopenhauer, who Jung referred to ‘as the “godfather” of his ideas’ (Combs and Holland, 1990), was very much a believer in determinism. He believed that each person’s life follows a preordained pattern or fate.

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** Coincidentally, I am writing these lines on September 11th, 2021, exactly twenty years after that significant tragedy.

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Chapter 6: Twin Supersynchronicities

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Other synchronicities that have previously been remarked upon include the cases of apparent ‘telepathy’ between identical (monozygotic) twins (Playfair, 2002/2012). In one famous case, described in detail by Larry Dossey in his book One Mind (2013), two identical twins, who shortly after birth were taken to live with separate families in Ohio and then reunited 39 years later, showed a remarkable sequence of similarities that are difficult to explain purely through genetic control. The ‘Jim’ twins, as the name suggests, were both independently named James by their respective families. As Dossey (2013), explains:

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“Not only had each been named James by their adoptive familes, but each had been married twice—the first time to wives named Linda, the second time to wives named Betty. Jim Lewis had had three sons, one of whom was named James Alan; his brother, Jim Springer, had three daughters and a son, James Allan. Both twins had previously owned a dog named Toy. Both preferred Miller Lite beer, chain-smoked Salem cigarettes, drove Chevrolets, enjoyed carpentry and had similar basement workshops in which they made similar things, disliked baseball, and relished stock-car racing. Both chewed their fingernails down to a nub. Each had been a lackluster student in high school; for both, their favorite subject was mathematics and their least favorite, spelling. They smoked and drank the same amount and got headaches at the same time of day. They had similar speech and thought patterns, similar gaits, and a preference for spicy foods. They shared peculiar behaviors, such as a preference for flushing the toilet before using it. Both had served as sheriff’s deputies in their respective communities. Each twin was demonstrative and affectionate, leaving love notes for his wife scattered around the house. They had voted identically in the past three presidential elections. Both men worried little about the past or future, dwelling mainly in the present. Each twin had vacationed in Florida at the same three-block-long beach. Their medical histories were similar. Both had identical vision, blood pressure, pulse rates, and sleep patterns. Each twin suffered from hemorrhoids, had put on an extra ten pounds at the same time in life, and was afflicted with “mixed headache syndrome,” a combination of tension and migraine headaches. The onset of headache in each was age 18, and in both twins the headaches occurred in the late afternoon. They even used similar phrases to describe them. Both had had what they felt were heart attacks in the past, although heart disease could not be demonstrated in either of them. Each had had a vasectomy. Their brain wave tests, recorded in response to various stimuli, were like carbon copies. Jim Lewis lived in Elida, Ohio, in a modest frame house. His was the only house on the block with a white bench around a tree in the yard. Jim Springer lived in Dayton, some 80 miles south of Elida. His was also the only house on the block with a tree with a white bench around it.”

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Other authors have discussed how genetics can only explain certain aspects of this case (e.g., Targ, 2004; Radin, 2006). Playfair (2002/2012), illustrates this further with another twin example:

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“…some twin coincidences are indeed due to genetic underpinning and some are not, and it is usually easy to tell which is which. For example, when seventeen-year-old Jonathan Floyd felt sudden pains in his stomach and had to have his appendix removed, it was not surprising that his brother Jason, 300 miles away, also had to have an emergency appendectomy less than a day later. They had, as one of them put it, been ‘medical blueprints of each other’ all their lives, which is what one would expect if they are genetically identical. Yet they had also been ‘accident blueprints’. When he was four, Jason fell through a window and had to have a head wound stitched up. Three days later Jonathan fell through the same window and had to have the same number of stitches in the same place. Is there a gene for falling through windows, I wonder?”

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In other words, biology tells us that genes are only responsible for the manufacture of proteins that contribute to chemical pathways in the body and the body’s physiological behaviour.

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And, of course, going back to the ‘Jim twins’, we also have the case of two completely unrelated families both naming their adoptive sons James in the first place. Considered on its own, this fact may seem relatively uninteresting, but it highlights an important point about synchronicity. Often an initial single event will only be of mild interest – it can usually be easily explained away as ‘just one of those things’. It is only when trains of such facts start accumulating that they take on the ‘meaning’ of the ‘meaningful coincidence’. Gary Schwartz, in his book Super Synchronicity (2017), highlights how trains of synchronicities, with their inherent meaning, can develop over time. He defines a supersynchronicity as being when six or more meaningful events of a given kind happen within a relatively short period of time. So perhaps the similarities seen in the lives of identical twins, especially in those that have been separated at birth, provide another source of evidence for the strong patterning of events in the world that is characteristic of synchronicity. The genetic similarity of twins probably forms part of the explanation, especially when the impact of environmental factors (or ‘nurture’) can be discounted due to the separation of twins in infancy, but it does not explain everything. Dossey (2013), describes how a non-local ‘One Mind’ (which could be considered to be equivalent to Jung’s collective unconscious) may “act in concert with genetic factors, intensifying the tendency toward sameness.” So, running with this idea, in genetically identical (monozygotic) twins the similarities in all traits, whether strictly defined by genetics or otherwise, would be stronger than in other circumstances. The meaningful coincidences of synchronicity would be strongest in this situation. But, as we have seen, while these traits may be magnified in the cases of identical twins, such synchronicities are not absent elsewhere and can be seen in a variety of circumstances.

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Questions have been asked about whether synchronicities of this kind could reflect some form of telepathy between pairs of twins (Playfair, 2002/2012). But the mechanism of telepathy in this instance remains unclear. There were no conscious thoughts apparently transferred between the Jim twins in the manner of a radio signal since each wasn’t even aware that the other existed - everything happened at the unconscious level. So, could there be a simpler solution? To my mind the simplest, most parsimonious model, in accordance with Occam’s razor, would be that all such parapsychological phenomena are a consequence of synchronicity (see also Chapter 8).

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Perhaps a complementary effect to those of the identical twins can be seen in the Lane case described by Steven Levitt and Stephen Dubner in their book Freakonomics (2005). They describe how a New York City man named Robert Lane decided to call his sixth and seventh children, both boys, Winner and Loser respectively. By the time of the book’s publication, Winner Lane had a lengthy criminal record, including three dozen arrests for burglary, domestic violence, trespassing and resisting arrest while Loser Lane had become a sergeant in the New York Police Department after initially attending prep school on a scholarship and then graduating from Lafayette College in Pennsylvania. Today, according to the authors, Loser and Winner rarely speak.

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Doesn’t all of this make life seem rather like a script? It certainly does to me. In particular, all these examples seem to highlight the role of a ‘tricksterish’ character operating from behind the scenes. From our perspective, it is certainly impossible to determine in advance the way the script is likely to unfold and, as Levitt and Dubner emphasize, we are certainly not beholden to our names or our backgrounds when we start on our life journeys. However, in certain situations there does appear to be a pattern which can be recognized in hindsight. Perhaps in the Lane case, lots of rational explanations could be provided for what happened. Perhaps Loser became a successful police officer in spite of his name, precisely because he had something to prove. Perhaps Winner became selfish, arrogant, and self-absorbed because of his name – which led him into criminality. Who knows? But it does seem interesting that Loser became a police officer and Winner a criminal – as if the two brothers were led inexorably into directly opposing roles in the script. Or perhaps it is just coincidence. That is why this case, where the brothers moved in diametrically opposite directions, offers an interesting contrast to those cases of identical twins who act so similarly; though here the patterns of contrasts are probably harder to discern than the similarities and synchronicities inherent in the twin cases.

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Chapter 7: The State of the Mind

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At this point, we should again consider who it is that is making the decisions and carrying out the actions. Returning to Rene Descartes and his famous quote – ‘I think therefore I am’ – we can start to think about where to draw the boundaries of the ‘I’ and consciousness. Synchronicities and the patterning they entail seem to work very much at an unconscious level, as exemplified by the cases of people being directed away from disaster events. Similarly, we also have presentiments, which are cases of the body somehow responding at an unconscious level to future emotive occasions. But even when we are consciously aware of something, how much control do we have over that awareness? Libet’s neuroscientific studies of decision-making suggests that ‘our’ decisions may already have been made before we became aware of them. So precognitive dreams may just represent some kind of ‘conscious synchronicity’ – a thought provided to the individual mind ‘from the outside’ in advance of the disaster event. To consider this spectrum of phenomena in any depth, from unconscious synchronicities through to conscious precognition (which could also be called conscious synchronicities), makes one really start to question the existence of free will. Where is the mental ‘space’ for free will to exist in this situation of extensive synchronistic patterning?

 

Jonathan Bricklin, in the Illusion of Will, Self and Time (2015), describes how William James believed thoughts to emerge into the ‘vessel’ of consciousness. James’s ‘stream of consciousness’ was made up of separate thoughts that were each separated by a ‘gap’. He believed that thoughts, such as ‘deciding’ thoughts, emerge from a ‘gap’ between thoughts rather than from something called an ‘I’ – such that ‘it thinks’ rather than ‘I’ think. James therefore saw the uninterrupted stream of consciousness as containing a train of thoughts, each thought arising from the gap after the previous thought. At this point we should revisit Descartes’ famous phrase – ‘I think, therefore I am’. If we are now saying that new thoughts mysteriously emerge from the gap between thoughts rather than from an ‘I’, then it starts to become very difficult to see much difference between the actions of the conscious and unconscious mind. The ‘I’ that is doing the thinking in Descartes’ phrase now also seems to be an illusion. There is no ‘I’ and ultimately, going back to the earlier discussion about the boundaries of the personality in Chapter 3, it appears that I am not even responsible for my conscious ‘deciding’ thoughts. This is not a new discovery. Advanced meditators often talk of being in a state of ‘nonduality’, where there is no separation between the individual consciousness and the ‘greater’ unconscious mind. Following Descartes, I stated in Chapter 3 that my individual personality is defined by my conscious mind, and not by any unconscious processes. It now seems that I can’t really be held responsible for my conscious thoughts either. All aspects of the individual mind, both conscious and unconscious, appear to emerge from somewhere else, somewhere external to us.

 

Certainly, the combined evidence from neuroscience and presentiment studies, together with widespread reports of synchronicities, seem to indicate that all our thoughts and mental activity, both conscious and unconscious, enter from somewhere outside of our own awareness. In many ways, this description mirrors the definition of inspiration which, from the Latin word ‘inspirare’, literally means ‘to breathe or, blow into’. Numerous authors and poets throughout history have described the feeling of thoughts entering into their minds as if from elsewhere, as if imparted (or blown into) from an outside source. Following publication of Thus Spoke Zarathustra, Nietzsche described the experience of writing that novel and the inspiration he received:

 

“Has anyone at the end of the nineteenth century a distinct conception of what poets of strong ages called inspiration? If not, I will describe it. – If one had the slightest residue of superstition left in one, one would hardly be able to set aside the idea that one is merely incarnation, merely mouthpiece, merely medium of overwhelming forces. The concept of revelation, in the sense that something suddenly, with unspeakable certainty and subtlety, becomes visible, audible, something that shakes and overturns one to the depths, simply describes the fact. One hears, one does not seek; one takes, one does not ask who gives; a thought flashes up like lightning, with necessity, unfalteringly formed – I have never had any choice.” (quoted in Tarnas, 2006)

 

Perhaps the most powerful example of this kind of inspiration is the automatic writing of some mediums who claim to be able to channel information from spirits and other entities in the unconscious realm. As William James states in The Varieties of Religious Experience (1902/2018):

 

“The subjects here actually feel themselves played upon by powers beyond their will. The evidence is dynamic; the God or spirit moves the very organs of their body.”

 

James also discusses episodes of dramatic instantaneous religious conversion:

 

“Throughout the height of it he undoubtedly seems to himself a passive spectator or undergoer of an astounding process performed upon him from above.”

 

As well as sainthood and mysticism:

 

“…when the characteristic sort of consciousness once has set in, the mystic feels as if his own will were in abeyance, and indeed sometimes as if he were grasped and held by a superior power.”

 

Similarly, Michael Grosso, when discussing prophecy in the Smile of the Universe (2020), writes:

 

“…the prophetic tradition is based on the experience of something that takes control of the normal conscious personality and needs to speak through it... Oracles could be called mediums or prophets and acted as if they were possessed by the god who spoke through them.”

 

In his conclusion to The Varieties of Religious Experience, James writes that religious experiences are likely to emerge from the subconscious or subliminal realm (roughly equivalent to Jung’s unconscious):

 

“In persons deep in the religious life, as we have now abundantly seen,—and this is my conclusion,—the door into this [subliminal] region seems unusually wide open; at any rate, experiences making their entrance through that door have had emphatic influence in shaping religious history…The subconscious self is nowadays a well-accredited psychological entity; and I believe that in it we have exactly the mediating term required…in it many of the performances of genius seem also to have their origin; and in our study of conversion, of mystical experiences, and of prayer, we have seen how striking a part invasions from this region play in the religious life…Let me then propose, as an hypothesis, that whatever it may be on its farther side, the 'more' with which in religious experience we feel ourselves connected is on its hither side the subconscious continuation of our conscious life.”

 

In The Varieties of Religious Experience, James himself admits that to make his thesis clear he is building it from the most eccentric and extreme examples of religious experience, from which he later draws more general conclusions. Certainly, the passages quoted above seem to allude to a great deal of unconscious, outside influence, that in religious circles has traditionally been called ‘grace’. The question is, are religious converts and saints somehow special or are we all in fact always subject to this external influence? In other words, is ‘inspiration’ or the ‘grace of God’ just an extreme and obvious form of determinism. If we believe that the universe is deterministic then maybe we should say that everyone is always inspired. Of course, the inspiration takes place on different levels of effectiveness in both any one person and between different people and can be thought of in the same way as ‘talent’. Just as some people are naturally more talented in certain respects than others, so some people appear more gifted in ‘grace’ or inspiration than others. However, everyone has a particular talent they can draw on as required. This is perhaps a more democratic way of viewing spiritual interactions in our world. If we were to believe in the traditional model of theism mixed with free will, where there are sporadic injections of God’s grace or periods of divine intervention in the world, and if this grace is directed only towards specific people, it is suggestive of special treatment for an elect few, whereas if we think the world is always inherently deterministic, as reflected by the patterning of synchronicity, then we can think of everyone as equal partners in the script of life. James highlights how traditionally:

 

“Theology, combining [sudden conversion] with the doctrines of election and grace, has concluded that the spirit of God is with us at these dramatic moments in a peculiarly miraculous way, unlike what happens at any other juncture of our lives. At that moment, it believes, an absolutely new nature is breathed into us, and we become partakers of the very substance of the Deity.”

 

The fact that it is miraculously obvious is undisputed, but just because grace is not so clear at other times does not mean it is absent. An alternative view might be that conversion events represent the extremes of God’s action in the world, but that this action is otherwise continuous and acts through everyone on a daily basis in a deterministic way. By extension then, as James says, the actions of saints represent only the extreme examples of morality that are on a continuum with the rest of humanity:

 

“St. Paul long ago made our ancestors familiar with the idea that every soul is virtually sacred. Since Christ died for us all without exception, St. Paul said, we must despair of no one. This belief in the essential sacredness of everyone expresses itself to-day in all sorts of humane customs and reformatory institutions, and in a growing aversion to the death penalty and to brutality in punishment. The saints, with their extravagance of human tenderness, are the great torch-bearers of this belief, the tip of the wedge, the clearers of the darkness.”

 

By accepting this view of the continuum, we can say that ‘God’ works through all branches of humanity, continuously, and in all respects, both good and bad, to generate the deterministic script of life. Everyone plays an essential role in the development of that script.

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Chapter 8: The Broader Relevance of Synchronicity

 

When he published Synchronicity: An Acausal Connecting Principle (1952/1972), Carl Jung had started to arrive at the conclusion that synchronicity (as a meaningful coincidence of a subjective psychic state with an objective external event) was the fundamental principle that underlay all paranormal or psi phenomena. He had already investigated the work of Joseph. B. Rhine at Duke University who had studied evidence for telepathy, clairvoyance, and precognition in the laboratory by asking participants to guess the pictures on a pack of specially designed ‘Zener’ cards. The cards had five different suits – wavy line, square, circle, cross and triangle – with five cards in each suit. It meant that by pure chance, the probability of guessing a card correctly was 20% and yet many of Rhine’s volunteers consistently performed above chance, suggesting that they were not just guessing the designs on the cards at random but were instead utilising some kind of paranormal or ‘psi’ ability to ‘read’ the card. The exact nature of that ability could be constrained by the design of the experiment to try to differentiate between telepathy, which would involve reading the mind of the experimenter, clairvoyance, which would somehow involve directly ‘reading’ the design on a card, which was lying face-down, and precognition, which would involve reading the design on a card at some point in the future.

 

It was partly due to Rhine’s experiments that Jung began to investigate the connection between paranormal (psi) ability and synchronicity, and which eventually led him to the conclusion that synchronicity was the basis of many paranormal events. Jung stated that such psi events could not be understood as:

 

“a question of cause and effect [because there appears to be no transfer or transmission of energy], but [rather] a falling together in time, a kind of simultaneity. Because of this quality of simultaneity, I have picked on the term “synchronicity” to designate a hypothetical factor equal in rank to causality as a principle of explanation.” (Jung, 1952/1972)

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Unfortunately, this definition has led to some confusion as the overarching concept of synchronicity as understood today is of much broader scope than ‘a falling together in time’. Jung himself acknowledged that these meaningful coincidences are “not synchronous but synchronistic, since they are experienced as psychic images in the present, as though the objective event already existed”. Subsequent commentators have described Jung as overreaching in his concept of synchronicity, with Koestler (1972), being particularly disparaging about Jung’s “obscurity” of definition when discussing his “theory of non-synchronous synchronicity”. As Tarnas (2006) states, the literal Greek meaning of the word ‘synchronicity’ as ‘together (syn) in time (chronos)’ is not really appropriate as a label for many of the events captured by the term synchronicity, where those events can be separated from consciousness in both in space and time. But to be fair to Jung, he makes the further clarification:

 

“An unexpected [subjective mental] content which is directly or indirectly connected with some objective external event coincides with the ordinary psychic state: this is what I call synchronicity, and I maintain that we are dealing with exactly the same category of events whether their objectivity appears separated from my consciousness in space or time.”

 

Perhaps on this Jung was correct, in that if we think in terms of the block universe model and four dimensional spacetime described by Einstein’s theory of relativity, then space and time are equivalent. Jung himself further states that “synchronicity in space can equally well be conceived as perception in time”. In other words, in a 4D block universe, all of space and time exist in entirety! Following on naturally from this, Jung’s conception of synchronicity as ‘acausal’ was derived from the fact that “causality is bound up with the existence of space and time and physical changes, and consists essentially in the succession of cause and effect”. In the block universe model, all of time and space coexist and, in such circumstances, causality (as understood as a product of linear time) disappears and, as Jung goes on to say:

 

“For this reason synchronistic phenomena cannot in principle be associated with any conceptions of causality. Hence the interconnection of meaningfully coincident factors must necessarily be thought of as acausal.”

 

Though of course this does not rule out the existence of a transcendent or Aristotelian formal and final (teleological) cause. Tarnas (2006) makes the point that while Jung’s term ‘acausality’ may have been “a useful counterpoint to the narrow conventional scientific understanding of linear mechanistic causality…the clear applicability of Aristotle’s richer classical formulation of causality for understanding synchronicities within a Jungian archetypal and teleological perspective places in question the continued usefulness or appropriateness of the term “acausality” in this context.”

 

Unfortunately, limited as we are by language, we are now left with a linear-time-based definition (synchronicity) attached to all meaningful coincidences separated in both time and space. The label has stuck, but as long as we remember the importance of the expanded definition, then all should be well. Furthermore, if we accept the broad definition, then using the concept of synchronicity to understand all psi phenomena is not necessarily unreasonable. Opposed to this idea, Tarnas (2006) states that:

 

“…in cases of paranormal experiences like clairvoyance, telepathy, and precognition, the individual in question can be seen as simply exercising some not yet understood perceptual or cognitive faculty that has no implications for the outer world’s capacity to embody meaning in a manner that transcends the human psyche [which would be characteristic of synchronicity].”

 

But even in this case, clairvoyance could be considered to be a meaningful coincidence between a subjective mental image and an external object or event. Tarnas is correct to say that the traditional element of meaning or numinosity is not present to the same extent, but if we again consider that we are living in a predetermined universe, then as with the continuum of morality or grace described in Chapter 7, we can also imagine a continuum of meaning between correlated events. As with all examples of synchronicity, in clairvoyance there is a meaningful coincidence between the object being viewed remotely in the mind of the clairvoyant and that object in the external world.

 

Many adherents of Jung’s synchronicity tend to place less emphasis on the work of one of his predecessors – Paul Kammerer – precisely because Kammerer was interested in documenting trains of coincidences, say, the repeated occurrence of similar events in the physical world, such as the repeated appearance of the same number on a bus ticket, a cloakroom ticket, and a theatre ticket during the same day (in what he termed the “law of the series”), irrespective of any aspect of meaningfulness during these events. However, as Combs and Holland (1990), state:

 

“Kammerer, for his part, must certainly have felt more than a little excitement with the coincidences he reports in his book, Das Gesetz der Serie. After all, he kept a log of them for many years, starting at the age of twenty. Perhaps we should not be too quick to dismiss these coincidences. The very presence of Kammerer’s intense fascination strongly suggests the proximity of unconscious activity – activity that may have been more than casually related to the coincidences themselves.”

 

In other words, ‘numinosity’, like beauty, is in the ‘eye of the beholder’ and there will be gradations of numinosity that will range from that of overwhelming cosmic significance down to a mere interest or fascination in the current project at hand. In itself, the repeated occurrence of the same number during a short period of time is probably enough to generate feelings of interest and meaning, even if the profound significance of some other examples of synchronicity is absent.

 

Perhaps it would be better to state that there is a correlation between events (see Chapter 9). Nevertheless, it could still be said that these correlations represent an aspect of meaningful coincidence in a patterned, predetermined universe. Arthur Koestler, in his influential book The Roots of Coincidence (1972), quotes Sir Alistair Hardy’s view of research by G. Spencer Brown, which has a bearing on this topic:

 

“…It remained for Mr G. Spencer Brown of Trinity College, Cambridge, to suggest the alternative and simpler hypothesis that all this experimental work in so-called telepathy, clairvoyance, precognition and psycho-kinesis, which depends upon obtaining results above chance, may be really a demonstration of some single and very different principle. He believes that it may be something no less fundamental or interesting – but not telepathy or these other things – something implicit in the very nature and meaning of randomness itself…”

 

Which for Koestler (1972), meant the clustering of similar events seen in the seriality of Kammerer and, by implication, Jung’s theory of synchronicity, which he described as getting to the ‘roots of coincidence’:

 

“I have singled out for discussion Kammerer’s Seriality and Jung-Pauli’s Synchronicity because they are, to the best of my knowledge, the only theories of the paranormal which do attack the problem of meaningful coincidences.”

 

The implication seems to be that if the patterning in human society and the universe more generally is strong, such that we can assume all events in the universe are predetermined, then all of human behaviour, including paranormal abilities such as telepathy, clairvoyance and precognition could be explained by synchronicity as a meaningful coincidence of subjective mental states in the individual person and objective states in the material world. If, in other words, we are being guided in our lives as if according to a script, then all ‘meaningful’ above-chance events like psi ability start to make sense. If we return to Elizabeth Krohn’s precognitive dreams, the meaningful coincidence between her dreams and the subsequent disaster events make sense as a form of dramatic synchronicity. Following William James (see Chapter 7), the thought, or in this case dream, of the ‘Miracle on the Hudson’ was somehow ‘implanted’ in Krohn’s mind from the unconscious, (or what some might call ‘God’), seven hours prior to the actual event of Captain ‘Sully’ Sullenberger successfully landing his jet aircraft on the Hudson River in January 2009. The question might then be asked why Elizabeth Krohn, and not others, received this precognitive ability (though by her own admission the ability is unwanted). The answer seems to be the lightning strike she experienced in September 1988. There is a very strong parallel here to the concept of divine grace, in which certain individuals appear to be ‘selected’ to perform certain spiritual tasks, be that the tasks of shamans in traditional tribal societies, or the ‘tasks’ of people like Elizabeth Krohn or J.W. Dunne to experience visions of the future. In Elizabeth Krohn’s case the divine ‘grace’ appears to have been administered in an obvious, direct, and deliberate way through a lightning strike. Viewed through the prism of the ‘tricksterish’ nature of Krohn’s later experience (see note to Chapter 4), when her written record of the precognitive Miracle on the Hudson dream, which was only released from her email server seven hours after she initially ‘sent’ the email from Jerusalem, and twenty minutes after the plane landed on the Hudson River, all of this starts to make sense.

 

The important point is this, if the simplest model of the universe is some kind of ‘block universe’ where past, present, and future coexist and all events are predetermined (i.e., if we indeed live in an entirely deterministic universe), then correlation between events becomes far more important than causation. In fact, this is probably one of the most important messages of this book – correlation is everything. It takes a little while to get your head around, but if you start to accept the concept of a deterministic universe, where everything is ‘scripted’, then correlation between events becomes primary. Strictly speaking, nothing, in the mechanistic sense, causes anything else but, following Jung’s definition of synchronicity as an ‘acausal connecting principle’, events are patterned and correlated to give an ‘illusion of causation’. Such ideas were also previously considered by Scottish philosopher David Hume when he stated in An Enquiry Concerning Human Understanding (1748) that:

 

“All events seem entirely loose and separate. One event follows another; but we never can observe any tie between them. They seem conjoined, but never connected.”

 

Working with Wolfgang Pauli, Jung developed the idea – termed the Pauli-Jung Conjecture by Harald Atmanspacher (Atmanspacher and Fuchs, 2014) – of an underlying psychophysical reality, all-embracing one world, or unus mundus, out of which emerges both the physical and mental aspects of reality.  Again, there is a similarity here with physicist David Bohm’s model (e.g., Bohm, 1980) of a holographic universe comprising an ‘implicate order’ out of which emerges our everyday ‘explicate’ world. Bohm defined the everyday world around us as the ‘explicate order’, which, he said, was ‘unfolded’ from a deeper level reality, which he called the implicate order. Nothing in the explicate order was deemed to be solid or permanent, instead everything was said to be in a state of flux. Even the most ‘solid’ material object in the world could be considered to be in a state of constant unfolding out of, and refolding back into, the implicate order, like some kind of ‘projection’ from a deeper ground of reality. Solidity then, is an illusion, and if everything can be considered to be an unfolding and refolding, then causation rapidly loses its significance. The world becomes a kind of ‘movie screen’ onto which reality is projected from a deeper level. The events happening on that screen, as with the events happening on the screen in the movie theatre, are just a projection. In this reality, during a game of snooker, billiards, or pool, as the cue ball strikes another ball, it doesn’t so much cause the object ball to move as to give the appearance, or ‘illusion’, of causing the movement. The reality is that there is a correlation between the way that the cue ball behaves and the way the object ball behaves that gives the ‘impression’ of the cue ball causing the object ball to move according to Newton’s laws of motion. It is, in fact, an extremely powerful illusion of causation that reflects the strength of the underlying correlations.

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Chapter 9: The World as Correlation: Synchronicity = Meaningful Coincidence = Correlation

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Considering the universe as a movie script or computer game that behaves according to a set of well-defined correlations provides a different way of looking at and experiencing the world. It means that the object of science is to discover the ‘rules’ that define the correlations projected from a deeper reality (the operating system of the computer game). It means that paranormal or anomalous experiences such as precognition or psychokinesis can be understood as relatively rare phenomena that appear to be bestowed on certain individuals giving, in extreme cases, the appearance of a talent or divine ‘grace’*. These unusual ‘paranormal’ events can then, following Jung, be explained as rarer correlations within the universal computer game, where, as an example, a precognitive dream pops into the head of the recipient immediately prior to an objective event in the ‘real’ world that appears to correspond with that dream. It is a correlation. In the same way, there was a correlation between the West Side Baptist Church in Nebraska suffering from a gas explosion and all the members of the choir of that church having reasons not to arrive at choir practise on time that provided a meaningful connection between the experiences of the choir and the gas explosion. The gas explosion did not cause the parishioners to be delayed in their attendance that night, but there was a synchronicity, a meaningful coincidence, or correlation, between the subjective actions of the churchgoers and the objective event of the gas explosion in the church.

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Taking this idea to its logical conclusion, away from unusual paranormal phenomena and into the everyday world, we could equally say that there is a correlation between someone kicking a football and the football moving through space. But remember, at the deepest level it is not really causation, it is an ‘illusion of causation’ created by the strong correlations inherent in the programme of the universe. Perhaps more accurately we can say that causation is a subset of correlation – the precise subset of strong correlations where if one variable is altered it has an immediate impact on a second variable. In other situations, the correlation may be much weaker and may reflect an inherent non-linearity in the system that gives an impression of indeterminism, though as I will discuss further in Chapter 14, this ‘apparent’ indeterminism will mask a deeper determinism. This is the way you need to start thinking if you accept the concept of a deterministic universe, but in many respects I think it gives a simple, parsimonious view of reality and the world we live in.

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Over the long term, thinking in terms of deterministic correlations will begin to change your mindset towards both the natural world and the nature of morality and society. I will discuss this latter aspect of determinism further in Section 2, but as a taster imagine this – if everything is a correlation and everything is predetermined, then perhaps we should be a bit more restrained about the way we judge people when we consider them responsible for ‘causing’ certain events to happen. Similarly, we should probably try to restrain our egos when we have experienced significant success and not display excessive pride in our good fortune. If we have suffered hardship, then perhaps we should try to treat it as a learning episode and not as something to experience with shame or embarrassment. You did not cause that situation; it was meant to be that way, and you can use that experience to change your own future as part of the ‘script’ that is universal reality.

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Thinking about the universe in terms of correlations is therefore a revolutionary concept. We can refine this idea further if we consider all events that occur in the physical world as resulting from correlations of varying strength. One way of approaching this is through a simple coefficient of correlation, which can be used to define the strength of the correlation. A coefficient with a value of 1, means that two datasets are highly correlated, whereas a coefficient of 0 means that the two factors show no correlation whatsoever. As an example, consider two datasets connected with a repeatable event such that the coefficient of correlation between them is close to 1 (i.e., the two datasets are highly correlated). In this case we can imagine releasing a stone from our hand while standing. Most people would agree that the stone will always drop to the ground. If we were to plot a simple graph of number of times the stone was released along the x-axis of the graph versus number of times the stone were to hit the ground on the y-axis, then we would, under normal circumstances, find a one-to-one correlation and the coefficient of correlation would be one. Assuming that we were thinking in terms of causation and knew nothing of how the world works, we could then legitimately ask the question: ‘Does releasing a stone cause it to hit the ground or does the action of the stone hitting the ground cause it to be released from the hand or is there some other intermediate factor at work that causes the stone to hit the ground?’. As Levitt and Dubner state in their book, Freakonomics (2005):

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“A correlation simply means that a relationship exists between two factors – let’s call them X and Y – but it tells you nothing about the direction of that relationship. It’s possible that X causes Y; it’s also possible that Y causes X; and it may be that X and Y are both being caused by some other factor, Z.”

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Similarly, Claxton (1999) discusses how neurological findings, such as those of Libet in Chapter 2, indicate conscious intentions and voluntary actions are “loosely coupled” and “co-arise”. In a variation on Levitt and Dubner’s argument, Claxton states:

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“The fact that conscious intention and voluntary action turn out to be so loosely coupled is a problem for any folk model of free will which posits that the former is the predominant causal determinant of the latter. It is much less so if we adopt the alternative interpretation of a ‘correlation’: that the statistical co-occurrence (however loose) reflects the operation of underlying processes that are related to both. If A and B covary, and A usually preceded B, that doesn’t necessarily mean that A causes B. It could equally be that both A and B are manifestations of a third set of processes, C, the time characteristics of which just happen, every so often, to make A pop up shortly before B…If we admit that ‘C’, whatever it is, comprises preconscious processes, then the loose-coupling of A and B no longer has to be construed as aberrant or anathema. ”

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Maintaining a view of the universe as a science of correlations allows one to keep an open mind for as long as possible and avoid jumping to the premature conclusion that X ‘causes’ Y. So, does your action of releasing a stone cause it to hit the ground? No, because if you release a stone from your hand when you are far away from the surface of the Earth (in space) it won’t fall to hit the ground. It is, of course, the action of gravity which has been proposed by science to ‘cause’ this effect and yet while gravity was described by Isaac Newton as a force and later by Albert Einstein as a curvature of spacetime, what gravity actually ‘is’, from first principles, is still rather a mystery. Yes, gravity ‘causes’ apples to fall from trees, but what is gravity really? It is something that was invented by science to explain the correlation between apples falling from the tree branch and hitting the ground rather than flying off or doing something else entirely. More generally, the notion of gravity was only introduced into the world by science to help explain empirical correlations in the behaviour of objects possessing mass (later expanded to mass or energy). What gravity actually is, and why it behaves the way it does, is a completely different matter.

 

The above discussion reflects, more generally, the nature of science. If you think about it, science doesn’t explain the ‘why’, it only explains the ‘how’ of nature. It explains how things work, but not ultimately, from first principles, why things work and what they really are. What science describes is the laws and mechanisms and how they work, but not why those laws and mechanisms are there in the first place, rather than something else entirely.

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However, I like to keep a very open mind about the way the universe works, and I am aware of anomalous reports of stones and other objects, called apports, apparently mysteriously appearing from nowhere during poltergeist activity (e.g., Playfair, 1980/2011; Geller and Playfair, 1986; Hitchings and Clark, 2013; Barrington, 2018). Enough of these reports have now been filed by people from different backgrounds for me to take such psychokinetic events seriously. However, such poltergeist activity is still rare, spontaneous, and not repeatable in a laboratory environment, which means it is regularly dismissed by those of an orthodox scientific or scientific-materialist persuasion. Keeping an open mind and assuming that such reports are credible, it appears that there may be occasions when apparently material objects behave in ways that are not in alignment with physical principles as currently understood. Assuming this to be the case, in the correlation discussed above we would need to bear in mind the vanishingly small possibility of the stone not behaving as you would expect it to when you release it. In poltergeist events, material objects have been witnessed flying around the room, completely ignoring gravity and other objects appearing in mid-air (apports) before then falling to the ground. However extraordinary such events may appear to those of us who haven’t witnessed them, if we are to keep an open mind about the workings of the universe we should take such witness accounts at face value.

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So, to summarize, the vast majority of the time, when you drop a stone it will hit the ground, but there is a very small possibility it may do something quite different. This possibility is negligible, but on one occasion in perhaps a billion something completely different might happen. And of course, when the vanishingly small possibility of breaking established scientific principles does actually occur during that billion to one instance, it is unlikely to happen on the lawn of the White House where everyone can see it. And even if it did happen on the White House lawn, human nature being what it is, unless it was filmed, we would probably just remember it for a few days and then put it down to hallucination or some other ‘rational’ explanation that would try to accord with our pre-existing worldview and reduce our cognitive dissonance. But in summary, what this means for the above example is that perhaps the correlation is not exactly equal to one, though for all everyday practical purposes – in the way we tend to experience gravity, a correlation of one is perfectly reasonable. In other words, when we drop a stone, we expect it to hit the ground!

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The scientific method deals with repeatable, measurable observations. Since the beginning of the scientific revolution, such techniques have been used by empirical science to establish the underlying laws governing the workings of the universe. The example described above is a reflection of Newton’s law of gravitation which, as we all learn in secondary school, is an attraction between two objects in the physical universe that depends on the mass of the objects and their distance from each other. According to science, all of Newton’s laws appear to be immutable aspects of the universe (though they were later modified by Albert Einstein to work differently under the conditions of relativity). However, not all of science appears to work with such immutable laws. Many modern researchers, particularly in the fields of biology and psychology, talk of a replication crisis in science (e.g., Pashler and Wagenmakers, 2012), meaning that when one experiment has been successfully carried out it is often the case that another, independent, laboratory may find it difficult to repeat that experiment, even if they are using the same protocols. Some scientists are questioning why this is happening, but perhaps it reflects the fact that not all of the laws underpinning the universe are quite as regular and immutable as some of our initial scientific discoveries would have us believe.

 

If we imagine that the universe operates under a spectrum of operating principles, some of which are almost immutable, like Newton’s laws of motion and Einstein’s theory of relativity, which operate virtually everywhere over all of time and space, and other principles that are less like ‘cast-iron’ laws but instead operate with varying probabilities of occurring, then perhaps we are getting closer to an understanding of how the universe truly operates. To some degree, what we are talking about here is the difference between systems that display linear behaviour as opposed to non-linear behaviour. Linear behaviour occurs when a change in one variable is directly proportional to a change in a second variable and is exemplified by the strong linear correlation between releasing a stone from your hand and that stone hitting the ground, as described above. Non-linearity, as popularised in ‘chaos theory’ and the ‘butterfly effect’, occurs when a small change in one variable occurs alongside a wildly different change in a second variable such that the changes are not proportional. In a non-linear system, a change in one variable may have an unexpected outcome in relation to a second variable. To the extent that science can predict the behaviour of a non-linear system, it may only be able to do so in terms of the probabilities of certain outcomes occurring.

 

Probabilities are regularly invoked to define aspects of behaviour in science. In Chapter 10, I will discuss the uncertainties inherent in quantum mechanics, as reflected by the Schrodinger wave equation and Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle, but it may also be useful to consider probabilities as a means of studying the universe as a science of correlations.

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Lab-based experiments in parapsychology have, to some extent, been subject to the repeatability crisis in modern science, that has also impacted related fields such as mainstream psychology. The results from these parapsychological experiments appear to vary according to the volunteers who are participating in the experiment and the length of time the volunteer has spent on the experiment. For example, participants in the card-guessing experiments performed by J.B. Rhine in the 1930s (discussed in the previous chapter), would often display what is known as the ‘decline effect’, in which the volunteers would perform less well as they started to get bored and tired, and the ‘sheep-goat effect’, where believers in parapsychology would tend to perform better than non-believers.

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In summary, the correlation between the number of trials performed in parapsychological experiments and the number of successes (or ‘hits’) is far lower than the correlation between releasing a stone from your hand and the stone hitting the ground. Sometimes, depending on the participant involved in the experiment and other factors, there are apparent hits, at other times there are failures. However, in the simple case of correctly predicting the suit on the top of a pack of Zener cards, chance would suggest that a participant will be correct 20% of the time, whereas many results in these types of experiments give a value above chance. Researchers Charles Honorton and Diane Ferrari (1989) used a technique known as metanalysis to look at the totality of all ‘forced-choice’ precognition experiments between 1935 and 1987 (see Radin, 2013), which included precognitive experiments with Zener cards during J.B. Rhine’s era, and found that the ‘effect size’ in these studies (which for our purposes is equivalent to the coefficient of correlation) was 0.02. So, the value here is very much smaller than one, but it is higher than would be expected merely according to chance (which would have a zero value). The nature of forced-choice experiments, where a participant is made to choose between a restricted number of potential outcomes, such as the five possible suits of Zener cards, makes them particularly susceptible to the decline effect since participants tire of the repetitive nature of the experiment. Later lab-based studies of precognition switched to ‘free-response’ experiments where participants were tasked to use clairvoyance (also known as remote viewing) to identify, from their own mental impressions, targets such as pictures or geographic locations that were remote in space (clairvoyance) or time (precognition). Remote viewing studies such as these were supported by the US government between 1973 and 1995 and were assessed by Jessica Utts (1996) to have had an effect size of 0.2, which is a factor of ten greater than the forced choice experiments but still much less than a one-to-one correlation with the target.

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The point of this discussion is to illustrate that it is possible to imagine the universe as operating not through cause and effect per se but through acausal correlations between events which in a limited, special case give the illusion of causation. As is stated above, popular science texts such as Freakonomics by Levitt and Dubner (2005), emphasize that we should not confuse causation and correlation; just because two factors are correlated does not mean that one variable caused another effect to occur. What I am trying to do here is basically to take this concept, and that of Jung’s synchronicity, to its natural conclusion and say that in a science of correlations nothing is truly causal, it only appears to be causal. In such a world, it is possible to keep an open mind and expect the unexpected. In the case of an extremely strong correlation, such as gravity, a stone will fall to the ground nearly every time, but there is an infinitesimal chance that something different may happen. Equally, when the correlation is weaker, a variety of things will happen with much more regularity.

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Perhaps the best way to consider the universe through a science of correlations is as a computer programme operating under a range of different laws of varying strengths. ‘Cast-iron’ laws, such as Newton’s law of universal gravitation, act nearly everywhere and nearly all the time – everyone witnesses the effects of such laws on a daily basis and has become thoroughly acclimatised to them. Other operating principles of the universal ‘programme’ are much less regular and only some people witness them sporadically or are sensitive to them, as is the case with the exceptional experiences of parapsychology (e.g., telepathy, precognition, psychokinesis). People who don’t witness such events have a tendency to dismiss them because they are not acclimatized to them. They are often not accepted by orthodox science because such phenomena are not repeatable in controlled laboratory conditions and have not been witnessed by many scientists of an orthodox persuasion.

 

So, some correlations are strong, while others are weak. The universal operating system keeps some events happening as the result of immutable physical laws while other principles are less regular and less amenable to the methods of scientific investigation. But ultimately everything, every principle that the universe operates under, arises from a deeper ‘implicate’ order sometimes with a repeatable regularity that can be easily studied and analysed by science and sometimes through more exceptional experiences that traditional science may ignore as outliers, but which may be just as integral to the way the universe operates. But because these exceptional experiences are less repeatable and controllable, they are not so available to the scientific method. Nonetheless, these events should not be ignored. If synchronicity is actually the defining rule which underpins the universe, then strong ‘meaningful coincidence’ (i.e., strong correlations) can be identified in the laws defined by science, while weaker meaningful coincidence/correlations will be witnessed in the more sporadic exceptional experiences of parapsychology, which are more ephemeral but are usually charged with numinous meaning. Such experiences give an insight into the ‘grace’ or sometimes tricksterish ‘personality’ of the ‘God’ of the universal operating system. Simon Duan (2021), in his description of the universe as a platonic computer, has described how infrequent modifications of the universal laws, such as gravity, as defined by computer subroutines, could explain the occurrence of exceptional paranormal experiences.

 

It is interesting to note that advocates of the approach to quantum mechanics known as ‘superdeterminism’ insist on the need for correlations between physical particles and the behaviour of experimenters that implies a lack of statistical independence (e.g., ‘t Hooft, 2016; Hossenfelder and Palmer, 2020a). It is with this in mind that I now move on to discuss one of the weirdest aspects of our physical reality – quantum mechanics.

 

Notes

 

* Though, as remote viewers will testify, clairvoyance appears to be an ability that can be taught more widely (see later in the chapter).

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Chapter 10: An Introduction to Quantum Strangeness

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The study of quantum mechanics was initiated in the early twentieth century by physicist Max Planck to help explain a property known as black body radiation. To put it briefly, classical physics suggested that the light energy released from these black bodies should have a continuous range of frequencies whereas Planck realised that the light that was actually emitted only occurred at certain discrete frequencies. This suggested that the light was not behaving like a wave with a continuous spectrum of energies but rather as a particle (later named a photon) with a fixed quantity, or packet, of energy called a quantum.

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Quantum mechanics suggests that, at the subatomic level, waves can behave as particles, while particles can also behave as waves. This confusing situation therefore sees light behave not only as a wave but also as a particle possessing a quantum of energy, while electrons, which were previously imagined to be tiny particles orbiting the nucleus of an atom, could also behave as waves.

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This wave-particle duality, seen as a characteristic of subatomic particles, is best illustrated by a modern version of Young’s slit experiment. Thomas Young (1773-1829) was a British polymath scientist, with interests in multiple fields ranging from physiology to Egyptology. He has been described as ‘The Last Man Who Knew Everything’ (Robinson, 2006) and is credited with establishing the wave theory of light. To briefly summarize the double slit experiment; if you etch two parallel slits into a glass slide, where the gap between the slits is similar to the wavelength of light from a source that is placed behind the slide, then an interference pattern will arise when the waves of light travelling through the slits interfere with each other so that in some places the ‘peaks’ of the light waves interfere constructively (i.e., two wave peaks – one passing through each slit – will coincide and add together) and produce bright bands on a screen placed behind the double slits. In other places the light waves will interfere destructively (i.e., a wave peak will coincide with a wave trough) and the waves will cancel each other out, causing a dark band on a screen behind the slide. This kind of interference effect can also be observed in simple experiments with waves generated on the surface of water in a tank, where the waves pass through two gaps in a physical barrier that are similar in size to the wavelength of the water waves.

 

So, in the traditional version of the double slit experiment, light is behaving like a wave and producing interference effects. But then a strange thing happens when the light emitted from the source is slowed down to the point where only one photon of light is allowed through the slits in the barrier at a time. At this point, as the photons hit the screen behind the barrier, they do not, as expected, all land in a single bright band behind each slit but instead behave as if they are still following wave-like behaviour – as if the photons are somehow interfering with each other to produce light and dark interference bands that slowly build up over time on the screen. It is as if the photons are somehow being guided to give the impression of behaving like light waves that are interfering with each other. The pattern on the screen steadily emerges in a way which suggests that the photons are somehow cooperating in a probabilistic fashion.

 

And here is where the strangeness of quantum mechanics really kicks in. If you try to work out which of the two slits a particular photon is passing through to help construct the interference pattern, you are not able to do it without the pattern disappearing. Even if you close one of the slits after a photon has passed through and almost arrived at the screen, it will behave as though there was only ever a single slit – the interference pattern immediately disappears.

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Our lack of understanding of the behaviour of subatomic particles is summed up by something called the Heisenberg uncertainty principle. It basically states that when making measurements of a particle, it is impossible to know both the position and momentum of the particle with any accuracy. Using measuring equipment, you can define the exact position of the particle, but this will be at the expense of knowing anything about the particle’s travel (momentum). Similarly, it is possible to measure a particle’s momentum, but by doing this you will have made the position of the particle completely indeterminate. In other words, the action of trying to measure one characteristic of a subatomic particle makes other aspects of its behaviour uncertain (hence the uncertainty principle).

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Prior to measurement, the maximum we can say about a particle’s position is to define a range of probabilities that it will be in a certain position at a certain time when we come to measure it. The probability distribution that defines the likelihood of finding a particular particle in a particular location is calculated from something known as the Schrodinger wave equation (named after Erwin Schrodinger, one of the founders of quantum mechanics). This equation is applied throughout quantum mechanics and has been found to be incredibly accurate at predicting the behaviour of subatomic particles. For example, atomic physics no longer defines electrons as particles with well-defined positions orbiting a central atomic nucleus, but rather as electron orbitals which provide a certain probability of finding an electron at a particular position (energy level) orbiting the atomic nucleus.

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But it turns out that there are multiple interpretations of quantum mechanics. The ‘official’ interpretation is known as the Copenhagen interpretation, named after the Danish city where it was originated and defined. The chief architect of the Copenhagen interpretation, Niels Bohr, stated that Schrodinger’s wave equation could be applied to understand the behaviour of subatomic particles, but it could provide no absolute understanding of the reality of the world at the subatomic level. Bohr basically believed that it was pointless to try to understand the reality of the universe underlying quantum mechanics since the wave equation doesn’t allow it (even though the equation can accurately predict the behaviour of particles in a collective, statistical sense).

 

So according to the Copenhagen interpretation, the world of quantum mechanics is inherently fuzzy – particles no longer have well defined positions or momenta but are instead defined by Schrodinger’s wave equation, which provides only a certain probability of an experimenter finding a particle with certain properties (like position and momentum) when a measurement is made.

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It is only when we, as observers, actively intervene in a system to make a measurement that we can actually define the position or momentum of a particle. It is at this point that Schrodinger’s wave equation is said to ‘collapse’ – we move from the situation of knowing only the probability of finding a particle in a particular position to actually knowing its precise location. The act of measurement allows us to accurately define the particle in some way and resolves (or ‘collapses’) the indeterminacy of the wave function.

 

But many physicists were left very unhappy about how quantum mechanics was defined by the Copenhagen interpretation. They accepted that the Schrodinger wave equation was an incredibly accurate and powerful tool to define the overall behaviour of subatomic particles. What they didn’t like was their lack of understanding as to what was actually happening to the particles before they were measured. There seemed to be no real understanding of what the world was like between measurements, other than in the general statistical or probabilistic sense of how the particles collectively behaved.

 

So other interpretations of quantum mechanics were produced that attempted to define what was actually happening in the reality of the world. One book I highly recommend that attempts to define a number of the alternative quantum mechanical interpretations in a clear way is Ghost in the Atom (1986/2008), based on a BBC Radio 3 documentary series from the early 1980s. Its authors, Paul Davies and Julian Brown, were able to interview a number of the chief protagonists of the various quantum mechanical interpretations that dated back to the foundations of quantum mechanics in the first half of the twentieth century.

 

One interpretation of what is happening in the ‘real world’ has been called the many worlds hypothesis (e.g., Everett, 1957). This interpretation basically states that each time the Schrodinger wave equation ‘collapses’ as the result of an observation (e.g., an observation of the position of a subatomic particle) then the universe somehow splits into multiple universes (i.e., a multiverse), with each universe representing a separate possible outcome of that observation as defined by the probability distribution derived from the Schrodinger equation. While this interpretation accords well with our mathematical understanding of quantum mechanics, as a coherent, parsimonious interpretation of reality it seems fundamentally lacking. Firstly, the interpretation is difficult to test since we exist in one universe (our universe) and it seems hard to imagine how we would find experimental evidence of all the parallel universes that are predicted by the many worlds hypothesis. Secondly, it is not a simple model of reality and it does not accord with our stated aim of using Occam’s razor. It introduces an infinite number of universes into our reality, which seems an overly complicated model that is completely untestable. Again, I wish to reiterate that my purpose in writing this book is to identify a simple, parsimonious model of reality that is in accordance with scientific evidence but does not introduce any unwarranted complexities. It doesn’t look like the many worlds hypothesis fits the bill in this case.

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Chapter 11: Bohm’s Pilot Wave and Spooky Action

 

Another alternative interpretation of quantum mechanics, that was promulgated by David Bohm (Bohm, 1952; Bohm and Hiley, 1993), is pilot wave theory. This theory considers that subatomic particles are real but that they are guided to specific locations by an underlying ‘pilot’ wave (also known as the quantum potential) that makes them behave with wave-like properties – as seen in the behaviour of photons in the modern double slit experiment discussed in the previous chapter. In other words, pilot wave theory considers that the Schrodinger wave equation describes a real entity that helps to guide real particles whose precise locations are hidden from the observer until a measurement is made.

 

Bohm’s model is ‘non-local’ since it postulates that the pilot wave is a potentially universe-wide field that connects all matter and provides instantaneous information about what is happening to a specific particle in a particular location to the rest of the universe. Therefore, for pilot wave theory to be correct, it is necessary that the wave does not carry any classical form of energy so as to stay in accordance with Einstein’s special theory of relativity, which states that it is impossible for anything, including signals, to be transmitted faster than the speed of light. In a very general way, the pilot wave can be considered to behave similarly to radar which, for example, carries information to ships about surrounding objects in the ocean, but does not carry much energy itself.

 

At this point I would like to make a short digression to briefly discuss what is known as the Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen (EPR) paradox and what Einstein described as ‘spooky action at a distance’. Basically, this paradox states that when two particles that were previously in contact separate (perhaps they are bombarded by another particle or expelled by the decay of another particle), then according to Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle and the Schrodinger wave equation, their inherent characteristics will remain undefined until the moment that they are measured by an experimenter in a laboratory. The problem then, is that the act of measuring one particle, will automatically define the characteristics of the partner particle with which it was once connected (this is because the characteristics of once-connected particles remain correlated). But by the time the laboratory measurement is made, the partner particle may be located on the opposite side of the universe, and, in this way, the act of measurement has somehow transmitted information instantaneously to the second particle located a great distance away. Therefore, Einstein termed this situation ‘spooky action at a distance’ that should not be in accordance with special relativity.

 

After the EPR paradox was formulated, another theoretical physicist called John Bell supplied the mathematical basis for understanding whether the correlations between once-connected particles were real, i.e., whether Einstein’s spooky action at a distance really did occur. This mathematical construct was termed Bell’s inequality and it stated that if two particles that were previously in contact remained strongly correlated (above the level expected by classical physics) after they were separated, then this would break the inequality. In a series of ingenious laboratory experiments carried out by Alain Aspect and his team in France in the early 1980s, it was proven that these once-connected particles do indeed remain highly correlated, or entangled, and that the act of measuring one particle will automatically confer information about the nature of the partner particle. Spooky action at a distance appears to exist! Here Bohm’s theory comes to the rescue by assuming that all particles are linked by the universe-wide pilot wave which will instantaneously transmit ‘active’ information about the measured particle’s properties, but without faster than light signalling across space.

 

In many ways Bohm’s interpretation of quantum mechanics is attractive and its non-locality can potentially explain Einstein’s ‘spooky action at a distance’. However, the problem remains that the pilot wave is as yet a theoretical phenomenon and there is currently no empirical evidence for such a guide wave. However, there is also a bigger problem, mentioned briefly in the introduction, which is that the non-locality of pilot wave theory makes it difficult to unify the two best candidate theories for understanding the very large and very small of the universe – general relativity and quantum mechanics respectively – into a single theory of quantum gravity, which would take us closer to the idea of a ‘theory of everything’. Palmer (Hossenfelder and Palmer, 2020b) has stated that ‘non-locality is the single biggest barrier to a theory of quantum gravity.’

 

So what if, again following Occam, there were an even simpler solution that allowed the unification of general relativity and quantum mechanics by preserving the principle of locality in the universe? Another of Einstein’s famous quotes is ‘God does not play dice with the universe’. This reflected Einstein’s inherent dislike of the probabilistic nature of quantum mechanics and his belief that, in essence, the universe was deterministic in nature. It is to superdeterminism that we now turn as a potential alternative theory of quantum mechanics.

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Chapter 12: Superdeterminism

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One of the more unorthodox approaches to understanding quantum mechanics is superdeterminism*. John Bell himself stated that one way around the breaking of Bell’s inequality was to assume that experimenters have no free will to choose their experiments. In Ghost in the Atom (1986/2008), physicist Paul Davies questioned John Bell on this subject:

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Davies: “…I was going to ask whether it is still possible to maintain, in the light of experimental experience, the idea of a deterministic universe?”

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Bell: “You know, one of the ways of understanding this business is to say that the world is super-deterministic. That not only is inanimate nature deterministic, but we, the experimenters who imagine we can choose to do one experiment rather than another, are also determined. If so, the difficulty which this [Alain Aspect’s] experimental result creates disappears.”

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Davies: “Free will is an illusion – that gets us out of the crisis, does it?”

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Bell: “That’s correct. In the analysis it is assumed that free will is genuine, and as a result of that one finds that the intervention of the experimenter at one point has to have consequences at a remote point, in a way that influences restricted by the finite velocity of light would not permit. If the experimenter is not free to make this intervention, if that also is determined in advance, the difficulty disappears.”

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According to superdeterminism, every measurement of every entangled subatomic particle will have been determined in advance and the behaviour of the partner particles will also have been determined in advance, in accordance with those measurements. Unlike Bohm’s pilot wave theory, superdeterminism could be local, since there is no need to have a universe-wide field to transmit information, just a need for all particles and the behaviour of the experimenters working on them to be highly correlated, which in some models has been defined by a non-local correlation function (e.g., t’ Hooft, 2016). As a result, the particles and experimental settings cannot be said to be statistically independent (Hossenfelder and Palmer, 2020a).

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Taken to its logical conclusion, superdeterminism says that everything happening in the universe has been entirely predetermined. It has to be said that superdeterminism is not a popular model of quantum mechanics within the physics community, but that lack of popularity seems more to do with people’s pre-existing worldviews and general philosophical outlook on the nature of science rather than due to any inherent technical problems with the superdeterministic interpretation itself. The politics of science seems to be rearing its head here. As recounted by Gerard ‘t Hooft in The Cellular Automation Interpretation of Quantum Mechanics (2016), superdeterminism has previously been called ‘disgusting’ by some researchers:

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“It is often argued that, if we want any superdeterministic phenomenon to lead to violations of the Bell…inequalities, this would require conspiracy between the [production of the partner particles] and the processes occurring in the minds of [the experimenters making the measurements], which would be a conspiracy of a kind that should not be tolerated in any decent theory of natural law. The whole idea that a natural mechanism could exist that drives [the experimenter’s] behaviour is often found difficult to accept…correlations between the [partner particles] and the settings…chosen by [the experimenters] have to be amazingly strong. A gigantically complex algorithm could make [the experimenters] take their decisions, and yet [the partner particles], long before [the experimenters] applied this algorithm, knew about the result. This is called ‘conspiracy’, and conspiracy is said to be “disgusting”. “One could better stop doing physics than believe such a weird thing”, is what several investigators quipped.”

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Whether it is the particles, or, more generally, a greater mind that ‘knew about the result’, feelings of disgust or otherwise should not be used to prevent the scientific investigation of a plausible interpretation of quantum mechanics. While aesthetics and beauty are often cited as factors common to many successful scientific theories and mathematical equations**, science should remain neutral in all its investigations of nature without being swayed by wish fulfilment or closed mindedness.

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In fact, it could be argued that beauty is subjective and in the eye of the beholder. Certainly, according to the tenets of Occam’s razor, there is beauty in simplicity and there is no reason why a parsimonious superdeterministic view of the universe and quantum mechanics should not be seen as inherently beautiful, rather than ‘disgusting’. In a recent presentation, Tim Palmer (Hossenfelder and Palmer, 2020b) highlighted the fact that the superdeterministic interpretation of quantum mechanics allows physicists to return to a local, deterministic view of the universe that is aligned with the theory of general relativity without Einstein’s concerns of ‘spooky action at a distance’ (reflecting non-locality) or ‘God playing dice with the universe’ (reflecting quantum indeterminism). One advantage that superdeterminism offers is that it is compatible with a single block-universe model, rather than a multiverse composed of an infinite number of universes as envisaged by the many worlds hypothesis. It also doesn’t require the non-locality of Bohm’s pilot wave model with its instantaneous transmission of active information. It is a simple, parsimonious interpretation.

 

Notes

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* The terms ‘superdeterminism’ in quantum physics and ‘determinism’ in cognitive science are equivalent in that they both specifically assume an absence of free will. The term ‘determinism’ as generally used in physics refers to the causal determinism of events in physical systems that are independent of the experimenter. In this book, I use the term in the same way as in cognitive science to mean an absence of free will.

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** The beauty common to some scientific theories is highlighted by the comment of Jeanette Winterson, as quoted, and expanded by Tarnas (2006):

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““Perhaps it seems surprising that physicists seek beauty,” Jeanette Winterson has written, “but in fact they have no choice. As yet there has not been an exception to the rule that the demonstrable solution to any problem will turn out to be an aesthetic solution.” Whatever their conscious motivations, scientists have always been compelled by a theory’s aesthetic superiority. Yet perhaps our understanding of what is aesthetically superior in a cosmological theory must be fundamentally expanded, beyond that of mathematical elegance alone as in contemporary science, to encompass what might be infinitely deeper dimensions of the universe’s aesthetic reality.”

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Chapter 13: A Personal Anecdote*

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By now you may be starting to see a similarity between the superdeterministic approach to quantum mechanics and the deterministic models that can be derived from Libet’s neuroscience and the presentiment experiments of Bem, Radin and others.

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However, even after presenting the scientific evidence it is often difficult to convince people of the reality of determinism because it is so counterintuitive to our daily experience. It may therefore be necessary to provide more personal evidence to persuade people of the reality of determinism. I fully understand that perspective. I personally did not start to reject free will because of reading the scientific evidence in favour of determinism, but instead arrived at that conclusion after experiencing some of my own anomalous experiences. It was these experiences that persuaded me that free will is a persistent illusion. However, I am also aware, following the work of Falk (see Chapter 5), that we are much more persuaded by our own personal experiences than those of others. With this in mind, I believe that if others were to witness their own personal experiences, it might persuade them of the reality of a deterministic universe and I will discuss in Chapter 19, how it might be possible to make people more receptive to synchronicities within their own lives and to the existence of patterning within the universe. But first, I will briefly recount the events which led to my own current worldview.

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My own experiences began with feelings of paranoia in 2005. At that time, I was working as an expatriate geologist with an oil company in Cairo. It was subtle to begin with – someone might repeat an unusual phrase during an office conversation that I had used in a different context in a private telephone conversation on the previous evening or perhaps had written in an email message. In either case, I started to believe that people were intercepting and monitoring my personal communications and then indirectly repeating elements of those communications back to me. It never seemed to happen in any explicit way, and I was very unclear as to why it was being done. I thought that if someone wanted to communicate with me then they would, and should, talk to me in a direct and clear way. But this wasn’t happening, and these events were what was leading to my feelings of paranoia – as I’m sure you can appreciate!

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By early 2006, I had decided that the feelings were perhaps somehow related to my work environment. I was living and working in a foreign country – Egypt – and I thought that perhaps it was some kind of homesickness that was driving the feelings of paranoia. I therefore felt it would be a welcome move to return to the UK in the spring of that year and embark on a new project in new surroundings. The feelings of paranoia, however, remained and the time eventually arrived when I left the company where I was working to start a new job as an energy analyst in London, thinking that perhaps another change of work environment might have the right effect. Unfortunately, the feelings of paranoia persisted there also.

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At the same time, I never felt entirely comfortable working within the oil industry and didn’t feel that I really fitted in with the culture. I was trained as a geologist but my reason for studying geology at university was due to time I had previously spent outdoors in the countryside. In other words, I was aware of the natural environment and the need for people to act responsibly to help conserve that environment. So, although I knew humanity needed energy, I always felt a personal tension working in the oil industry. When I graduated from university at around the turn of the millennium certain companies within the oil industry were trying to polish their green credentials by moving their business model ‘beyond petroleum’. I had believed that the oil industry was beginning to undergo a transition, though it took them some time to follow through and fully engage with the need to move beyond fossil fuels. Some twenty years later, the oil companies are only now, through a mixture of external pressure applied from government policy, legal rulings, environmental activism, and activist shareholders, beginning to embark on a journey that should really have got underway many years ago. So essentially, I felt that I was a bit of an outsider in the oil industry, didn’t entirely fit into the culture, and felt that perhaps it was this that was driving the feelings of paranoia. Although I was probably not consciously thinking about all these things at the time, I certainly did not feel that everything was going particularly well in my work life and that perhaps I needed to take more radical action.

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So, by early 2008, I had decided to make a break from the oil industry and start my own small shop in southeast London. While the work was different, the feelings of paranoia persisted. I started to think that all the customers coming into my business were actors being sent in to buy specific items at specific times by an unknown ‘director of operations’.

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By the summer of 2008, the feelings of paranoia had expanded and I started to believe that I was at the centre of a grand conspiracy that somehow also involved the media and the state as well as the oil industry. I started to feel that I was playing a role in a highly elaborate theatre or movie script and that a Polish delicatessen that had recently opened opposite to my own business was a ‘front’ for the conspiracy that was now being actively pursued against me. On one particular midweek period during those months, the business took exactly the same amount of money - £107 - on three consecutive days. This reinforced in my mind the view that my customers were in fact actors being sent in by an unknown ‘director’ at particular times to ensure that the income would be the same on all three days. Though why anyone should wish to do this was still beyond me at that point!

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Meanwhile, I started to become so convinced that the nearby delicatessen was helping to orchestrate the conspiracy against me that on one occasion I was mentally preparing myself to walk across the road with a broom and smash up the shop! After all, in my mind, it wasn’t real, it was just a part of the intricate script being enacted against me. I came very close to doing it and actually walked to the front door of my business with the broom. When I got there, however, something stopped me. I walked to the back of the shop, placed the broom against the wall and turned on the cold tap to full flow in a sink at the rear of the premises. I started to stare at the water and as I was doing so the flow decreased down to a slow trickle and then reverted back to full flow over a couple of seconds. There was no logical reason why the water flowing from the tap should have behaved in that way, there were no plumbers visiting and there was no problem with the water supply. Of course, with the level of understanding I had at that time I started to believe that whoever was orchestrating the ‘movie script’ was, alongside all the strange coincidences between the content of my emails and phone calls and other people’s behaviour, now also intervening in my personal physical reality. I can remember saying out loud – ‘Ah, so now you have attached a device to mess around with my plumbing system!’ However, the immediate effect was to calm me down and take my mind off those thoughts about the business across the road.

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So, by the Autumn of 2008, the situation had escalated and, in addition to believing that my phone calls and emails were being monitored, I started feeling that my house and business had been ‘bugged’ and that those closest to me were also involved in the conspiracy.

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I visited my local doctor, who referred me to the local mental health team. After an assessment they prescribed anti-psychotic medication, which I refused to take. My reasons for doing so largely centred around the fact that the correspondences I was experiencing between the content of my private emails and phone calls and the conversations and interactions I was having with business customers and other people outside of my personal life were ‘real’ correspondences. I did not believe I was suffering from a delusion when these coincidences happened – they were real events happening in the real world in correspondence with aspects of my subjective, personal, situation.

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Nonetheless my refusal to take the medication led to a crisis point and at around 8am on 7th January 2009 I was told that I either had to take the medication, or I would be deprived of my freedom and sectioned by force under the UK Mental Health Act. To reiterate, as far as I was concerned, all the coincidences that were driving my paranoia were a consequence of interactions taking place in the ‘outside world’, they were not due to personal hallucination or any other kind of confabulation going on inside my head.

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So inevitably, I was sectioned under the Mental Health Act at the Bethlem Royal Hospital. Bethlem hospital has a long history. Originally instituted in 1236 as the Priory of St Mary of Bethlehem in Bishopsgate, the institution began admitting ‘guests of infirm mind’ around 1403 and is the origin of the slang word ‘Bedlam’ (Jay, 2012). In more recent times Bethlem Royal Hospital has been operated by the South London and Maudsley NHS Trust, which has the acronym ‘SLAM’. I always thought that SLAM, with its similarity to the colloquial name for a prison - ‘slammer’, was a rather ill-conceived and unfortunate name for a trust that was overseeing supposedly modern psychiatric institutions. In addition, the term is probably not particularly helpful for patients who are in a potentially fragile state of mind when they are admitted. A less confrontational acronym might perhaps be more appropriate!

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Psychiatry within Britain’s NHS is very much the product of the Western materialist scientific outlook, which ignores spirituality. Having grown up in the West and being trained in the sciences at elite Western universities, I too am a product of the same system and consequently had little insight in early 2009 into spiritual, or otherwise anomalous, phenomena. Knowing what I know now, I believe that it would be highly productive to address the issue of spiritual awakenings/emergences within the frontline Western psychiatric community. That is not to say that embracing aspects of spirituality would be suitable for all patients suffering from a so-called ‘psychotic episode’, but it certainly seems to be a tool that should be available within the range of treatments. This is not a new issue – it has been addressed by Jungian psychoanalysis and workers like Stanislav and Christina Grof (e.g., Grof and Grof, 1989) over the last fifty years and yet even now, none of this research appears to have been incorporated into the Western model of treating mental health (see Davies, 2013 for a critical review of Western psychiatry). It also needs to be clearly stated that within wider society, so-called mental health ‘problems’, which in fact may only represent the stages of a spiritual awakening process, are of limited duration and are not a life sentence. Just because someone has been labelled as having mental health problems does not mean that they will always have those problems and society generally needs to learn to be less judgemental and much more open to anomalous subjective experiences.

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From a personal perspective, I realise that my mental situation in early 2009 was not good. But what people need to understand is that these experiences are transient. It was an experience that is now over. I personally see the events of that period as a kind of educational process which was necessary to my own mental development, and I don’t regret the experiences or wish they had occurred differently. The essential problem in early 2009 was that there was a mismatch, or cognitive dissonance, between my own agnostic, materialist, worldview and the reality of the events happening in the world around me. This mismatch had to be addressed and it is clear to me that living in a world where you believe everyone is against you is an untenable situation in the long term. So, at that time, in being sectioned, I did also believe that I might finally gain some kind of insight into what was happening in my life and who was orchestrating the apparent ‘conspiracy’ against me.

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I spent a total of twelve days at the Bethlem Royal Hospital. The staff there realised early on that I was no threat to either myself or anyone else (the necessary requirement for forcibly admitting someone into a psychiatric hospital) and I was taken ‘off section’ after seven days and from that point onward was allowed to leave the hospital of my own volition. To be perfectly honest, I did not gain much insight into my experiences from the hospital staff - not that they didn’t work to the best of their ability within their own limited training, but what they lacked was the spiritual knowledge necessary to provide a full account of what turned out to be a spiritual emergence or awakening.

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No, however strange it may initially seem, my enlightenment actually started ‘through’ one of my fellow patients – a man named John. John arrived on my second day in the hospital, on 8th January 2009. He was quite an eccentric character and, by his own admission, had been a previous visitor to the hospital. He also claimed that he was God, saying: ‘I am both God and John’. Now, obviously, there are many people in psychiatric hospitals who believe they are God and anything that such people say should initially be treated with caution. However, in much the same way as I described the inspiration of authors, epiphanies of prophets, and ‘channelling’ of mediums in Chapter 7, so it seems perfectly conceivable that a psychiatric patient with a sensitivity, ‘boundary thinness’, or in James’s terms a “door to the subliminal region that seems unusually wide open”, could also act as a conduit or transmitter for spiritual information from the unconscious. And John certainly seemed to be an intelligent character who, during my conversations with him, and reading between the lines, seemed to be able to tell me about aspects of my personal life that he couldn’t have consciously known about. My conversations with John seemed to be similar to the coincidences that I was experiencing in the ‘outside world’, but with greater intensity.

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As you can probably imagine, being confined to a psychiatric hospital and talking with an intense character like John was in some respects a rather stressful experience and on the first night after he arrived I found it rather difficult to sleep. My rudimentary means of overcoming this was to start counting sheep in my head. To make them easier to count I was imagining the sheep in the surreal situation of standing in a line and then jumping over a tent. Why I was envisaging a tent rather than a fence, hedge, or wall I cannot possibly imagine, maybe I was just trying something surreal to make the scenario more memorable, maybe it was because I had recently been camping in Scotland. I really don’t know. What I do know, very clearly, is that the following day during an art therapy session one of the other patients in the room stated very dramatically: ‘I’ve just thought of something very strange – I’ve just thought of sheep jumping over a tent.’ This kind of comment, where a stranger suddenly describes their innermost thoughts, is obviously not something you hear often in everyday life, but the hospital was in somewhat of a special situation in that regard. The moment also had a rather dramatic effect on me. Until that point, I had mistakenly believed that I was at the centre of a grand conspiracy orchestrated by unknown people who were reading my emails and listening to my personal phone calls and then indirectly repeating the contents of those communications back to me by incorporating unusual phrases into their own conversations and correspondence. But from that day on, I started to entertain the possibility that some people could also ‘read my mind’. Maybe, I thought, these were gifted people who could somehow read the contents of other minds with clarity. That was my understanding at the time. I was the product of a Western materialist scientific education which does not take parapsychological reports, such as telepathy and clairvoyance, seriously and so I knew very little, if anything, about the work of organisations such as the Society for Psychical Research. I now know that ‘verbatim’ mind reading or ‘high definition’ remote viewing is not possible** and that such ‘psi’ phenomena, when they occur, are somewhat limited in their accuracy, but because of my previous materialist background and lack of knowledge, I found the possibility of genuine mindreading a scary possibility and I still hadn’t reached a more parsimonious, rational, explanation for what was now happening.

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It was only, in fact, in the period immediately following my stay in the psychiatric hospital that my worldview started to move in a more spiritual direction. I chanced upon Carl Jung’s ideas about synchronicity, or meaningful coincidence, during an internet search a couple of days after leaving the hospital. I immediately resonated with Jung’s concept and felt it was a coherent alternative explanation for what I had been experiencing. Instead of believing that everyone was an actor involved in a conspiracy, and that that there were people who could read my mind verbatim, I started to realise that these people were not actually consciously aware of what they were saying. They were not consciously repeating phases I had used or mentioning events I had previously reported in private communications, they were just living their lives, but their comments regularly seemed to unconsciously reflect or resonate with aspects of my personal life. Learning of synchronicity was therefore a release, it allowed me to live without thinking that the whole world was somehow ‘against me’. I was still aware of all the meaningful coincidences and yet I now thought of them as the unconscious behaviour of people who were often unaware of what they were doing or saying. In that respect, strangers started to seem a little like marionettes – I would still be able to have personal conversations with people but there would always be aspects of their behaviour which was both unconscious and bore a meaningful similarity with subjective aspects of my life. I found that this meaningful resemblance of the outside, objective world to my inner subjective life was not just limited to conversations with individual people but also seemed to correlate with other external events, for example as reported in the media.

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All of which is suggestive of some form of solipsism or grandiosity. In my defence, I am not naturally a grandiose person, but there seemed to me definite evidence of all these meaningful connections between aspects of my subjective personal life and events taking place in the objective, external world on a range of scales. At least since discovering Jung’s synchronicity, I could start to understand my experiences to be spiritual in nature as opposed to resulting from a human-generated conspiracy.

 

It was around the same time, shortly after I left the hospital, that I started to finally put the pieces together in my mind – in particular the connection between John and his claims of being God, the intensity of his speech and his seeming to be a conduit, or channel, of some unconscious knowledge of my life, and the fact of there being correlations between what I was thinking and the actions of others in the outside world.

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Essentially, I started to realise that these were ‘communications’, arriving in many different forms from a spiritual entity of which I had had no previous experience and which in time I would call ‘God’, probably as result of encountering ‘God and John’ on the ward at Bethlem, and probably also for want of a better word. What was slowly dawning on me was that the rules of reality I had grown up with no longer applied to the version of reality I was now witnessing. According to my original worldview, the only rational explanation for my experiences was that I was living in a grand conspiracy. My new worldview ascribed my anomalous experiences to God. I had misinterpreted spiritual communication as a human-based conspiracy.

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Also at this time, I started to read around in areas that I knew little of previously – such as philosophy, religion, psychology, and psychoanalysis. I started to consider more deeply the meaning of the patterning that was happening in my life, or if not the precise meaning, then at least the implications of that patterning. For example, it seemed to me that the regularity of what I now knew to be synchronicity precluded the existence of free will. If everything in nature was so highly organized on a daily basis, it seemed unlikely that there was any scope for randomness. This seemed to be a logical consequence of accepting the existence of synchronicity. These meaningful coincidences could only regularly occur if all the events of life, and by extension the whole universe, were entirely orchestrated. I became convinced that you couldn’t have it both ways. Either you accepted that the regular meaningful coincidences of synchronicity point towards a deterministic universe or you must dismiss them altogether. I think it is difficult to accept the connectedness of synchronicity and also believe that anything happens by chance. In this scenario – where is the space for free will?

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In early 2009, all these kinds of thoughts were new to me. I had had no previous reason to pay any attention to the big-picture view of life. I was spending a lot of time reading but I also needed time to think and absorb my newfound worldview. This process would take many years and is in fact still ongoing. But at the time I felt that I needed space to think about this on my own, away from people who had previously known me, including my family. On one day in Spring 2009, shortly after I had left Bethlem Hospital, I decided to take a day trip to the town of Brighton on the south coast of England to give me some space to think. At one point, I was walking along the Brighton beach when I received a phone call from my mother, which I found quite stressful at that time as she was being rather persistent, despite me asking for space to think. Following a fairly short and heated conversation I decided to go into a pub close to the seafront to order a pint of Guinness. After ordering, I collected the beer and went to sit at a table outside. As I was looking at the head of the beer a shamrock mysteriously appeared. It was perfectly formed, almost like a ‘platonic’ ideal shamrock, and was made up of different sized bubbles that graded from largest at the centre to finest on the edge. The person at the bar certainly did not put it there, and in form it was unlike any irregular ‘human-created’ shamrock I had previously seen on the head of a pint of Guinness. It was actually very beautiful, and I can quite honestly say that I have seen nothing like it before or since. I also think it says something that this event has remained clear in my mind for so many years.

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By early Summer 2009, I also started to notice unusual muscular pulses in various parts of my body. These were not regular spasms in a particular place in my arm or leg, but they would occur as one-off pulses, or maybe double pulses and they would happen in places all over my body. There would also be occasions where I would feel my finger straightening as if by itself (i.e., there seemed to be periods when my fingers were not completely under my conscious control, as if something else was causing them to move). These muscular effects still happen to this day and often at times of meaning. In 2019, I started regularly recording exactly when the pulses happened, where on my body they were located, and what I was doing at the time. I kept a detailed record for almost a year of these occurrences, and still record other significant occasions, a selection of which are given below:

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25th June 2019: 7.20pm: Strong pulse in right thigh when I said 'God' in exasperation at something.

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16th August 2019: 10.05pm: Returning from a day trip to Cambridge. Get a pulse in my left thigh at the same time as an audible creak in the train between Tottenham Hale and London Liverpool Street stations.

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1st September 2019: 6.24pm: Reading The Science of Storytelling (Storr, 2019). At 8% into the ebook I get a pulse in my right tricep at the line: 'Religious people have apparent visitations.’

 

29th December 2019: 6.46pm: Watching a video entitled Project Deep Quest (Schwartz, 2019). At 10:19 into the video, the thumb of my left hand twitches (I have my left hand semi-supporting my right arm under the elbow) at the shot of the submarine hydraulic arm and at the line: 'So I said well OK, and I extended my articulated manipulator and dug it into the bottom and pulled out the first artifact.’

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1st January 2020: 12.02pm: Reading Synchronicity & You (Joseph, 1999). On p.119, I get a quick double-pulse in my left tricep at the line: 'While the narrator stood in front of the cameras, on the very premises of Jung's Swiss home, lightning struck the same garden where the tree had been formerly located, followed by a dramatic roll of thunder.’ 

 

12th June 2021: 10.45am: Reading an article on the Psychology Today website (Levoy, 2017). At the line: 'This was orchestrated by something with wits.', I get a couple of pulses in my left tricep.

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So, by recording some of these muscular events I was finally able to establish that to some extent they were associated with episodes of meaning. The events give me the feeling that I am permanently accompanied by a spiritual entity, or at least a separate intelligence of some sort that is able to make its presence felt by acting directly on my body (which incidentally it is doing at this moment - 2.22pm on 28th November 2021 – by producing a series of pulses on the right-hand side of my left calf muscle). However, to discount any neurological issues, since I am also a type-1 diabetic and I thought that the pulses might be a reflection of some form of diabetic neuropathy, I consulted my doctor to ensure there was nothing physiologically wrong. I was referred to a neurologist for an EMG and nerve conduction study on 31st December 2019. The results from those studies showed that I have no adverse neurological symptoms – my muscles and nervous system are functioning correctly. For the lack of any better explanation, I was diagnosed with ‘benign fasciculations’, though that doesn’t really explain why these things appear to happen at times of personal meaning.

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In summary, over the last thirteen years since early 2009, I have been gradually acclimatizing to a flip in worldview from agnosticism to a spiritual belief in some kind of larger mind that I would call ‘God’. The character of this entity, as it has displayed itself to me, shows a mixture of traits that perhaps reflect aspects of Jung’s archetypes. It is certainly not all good, but also has a tricksterish character and is a reflection of both the light and the dark aspects of nature (as recognized in the yin and yang of Taoism). I also believe that ‘God’ is the ultimate creator of the universe and is entirely responsible for our actions on both a conscious and unconscious level while giving us an apparent ‘sense’ of free will. My belief is of a panentheistic God, which permeates the universe and of which we are all an integral part. However, my own personal evidence of synchronicity and the feeling, due to the fasciculations I experience, that I am always accompanied by a spiritual presence leads me to feel that, in truth, this is a ‘knowledge’ rather than a ‘belief’ in God.

 

Notes

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* I have written about some of these events previously (e.g., Dunningham, 2013).

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** Though the example from Swami Vivekananda given in Chapter 4 seems to get very close to a true, albeit rare, case of ‘verbatim’ precognitive mind reading.

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